Daily Focus
24
March
2017
Daily Focus : 24 March 2017, SET likely to be volatile and decrease; buy on weakness
(views 29)
We expect the SET to continue to be volatile and decrease. Although the index was able to stabilize in the last few days, there is no fresh catalyst to provide support. Although most European stock markets turned to end up last night and the Dow ended only slightly lower, the U.S. Index dropped from its intraday gain of nearly 100 points due to investor concern over the delay in President Trumps stimulus plan after U.S. House of representatives had postponed their deliberation on the draft of a new health care bill that replaces Obamacare because there were insufficient votes within the Presidents party to support such legislation. Furthermore, global crude continued to weaken after there were reports that U.S. oil stockpiles and rigs continued to rise last week. Meanwhile, the Fed Chairs talk yesterday did not offer any clue as investors had anticipated.
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23
March
2017
Daily Focus : 23 March 2017, Hold already-have position and place new bets on weakness
(views 20)
Investors were concerned that President Trumps stimulus plan might face delay. Moreover, there was pressure from U.S.
existing home sales which decreased more than expected. However, the Dow somewhat recovered and clawed back some of its loss last night after the index continued to tumble by nearly 90 points in the beginning. Besides what happened in the U.S., we also see a recovery in many European equity markets. Given that, most Asian stock markets were able to open slightly higher this morning. In Thailand, FSS expects the SET to continue to steady from yesterday. However, there is no fresh catalyst. Furthermore, some investors will continue to wait for the Fed Chairs talk later today to see whether there will be a signal on the next rate hike this year. As a result, investors need to watch out on volatility and a loss.
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22
March
2017
Daily Focus : 22 March 2017, Wait to buy on weakness and hold already-have positions
(views 33)
This morning, investment sentiment in international equity markets looks weaker as investors remained concerned over the
uncertainty of President Trumps economic plan. Given that, the Dow closed down by over 200 points overnight. In Europe, stock markets were capped by a fall in bank shares. As a result, most Asian equity markets opened lower this morning and many tumbled by over 1%. This should pressure the SET which has rallied sharply in the past week or so to decrease. Meanwhile, some investors continue to wait for the Fed Chairs speech tomorrow (i.e. March23) to look for clear signal of the next rate hike. Given that, FSS expects the SET to decrease briefly before it turns to move up in the future.
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21
March
2017
Daily Focus : 21 March 2017, SET still likely to ease; wait to buy on weakness
(views 26)
This morning, international equity markets were not bright because most U.S. and European stock markets closed down last night due to a number of reasons. First, investors were concerned over President Trumps tax reform and stimulus plans, which might take longer time than anticipated. Second, investors were disappointed with meeting results of finance ministers and central bankers of the G20 over the weekend. Third, there was pressure from another decline in global crude after Baker Hughes, a U.S. oilfield service company, reported that U.S. oil rigs continued to increase for the ninth straight week. Nonetheless, the loss in both U.S. and European stock markets was not large. Given that, most Asian equity markets continued to steady, moving within narrow range this morning. Whats more, FSS expects the SET to also stabilize in the beginning. After which, there is risk that the index will decrease.
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20
March
2017
Daily Focus : 20 March 2017, SET continues to be volatile and retreat; wait to buy on weakness
(views 32)
This morning, investment sentiment in international equity markets was quite directionless. Although most European stock
markets ended up, the gain was quite small. In the U.S., the Dow continued to close slightly down. Given that, most Asian equity
markets began to ease this morning, while investors continued to wait for the Fed Chairs speech on March 23 to look for clues about the next rate increase this year. In Thailand, the SET has increased quite quickly in the last round. Given that, FSS expects the index to decrease, which will serve as an opportunity to buy. However, downside should be limited since there is no fresh downside risk to put pressure. Moreover, global crude also started to stabilize better due to U.S. depreciation and after some key oil exporters from both in and out of the OPEC continued to signal further production cut in order to ease concern over supply glut.
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17
March
2017
Daily Focus : 17 March 2017, SET still likely to be volatile and decrease; wait to buy on weakness
(views 29)
The SET is likely to be more volatile. Moreover, the index might decrease after it has rebounded in response to the news that the Fed should not speed up its tightening this year as many started to anticipate. Moreover, it has increased quite sharply since the beginning of the week. This morning, most Asian equity markets began to see smaller gain after U.S. stock markets were volatile and somewhat eased due to selling in healthcare shares. Furthermore, global crude weakened due to concern over a report that a number of OPEC members were yet to reduce their production to the agreed level. Given that, FSS continues to believe the SET will be volatile and decrease. However, downside should narrow. Whats more, there is still chance for the index to climb to our end-2017 target of 1650 in the future.
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16
March
2017
Daily Focus : 16 March 2017, After bets are placed, hold them to wait for new round of rallies
(views 32)
This morning, investment sentiment in foreign equity markets is brighter after the Fed has hiked its benchmark rate by
0.25%, as expected. Moreover, the Fed Chair signaled that the central was in no hurry to raise its policy rate. In particular, there should be
just two more increases this year, as markets have predicted. Meanwhile, energy counters were supported by global crude which
recovered by more than 2% thanks to U.S. oil inventories which decreased from last week. The loss is in contrast to most analysts
anticipation for a rise. Given that, most Asian stock markets opened up this morning. Although the gain was modest, FSS believes it will help stimulate buying, which will make the SET stabilize better. Furthermore, there is still chance that the Thai main index will
rebound to move in positive territory, as expected.
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15
March
2017
Daily Focus : 15 March 2017, SET continues to see support amid volatility and weakness; Buy on weakness and then hold
(views 27)
U.S. stock markets continued to weaken. Besides the concern over a Fed rate increase, the Dow was also pressured by a sharp fall in airlines counters after flights had to be cancelled due to snow storm. Moreover, global crude tumbled by over 1% owing to a report that several OPEC-member countries oil production continued to exceed their quota. Such fall also pressured most European equity markets to end lower and caused Asian equity markets to weaken this morning. However, the Asian loss was modest. Given that, FSS expects the SET to be volatile and move within narrow range. Moreover, there is chance the index will steady, waiting for a rebound back to our end-2017 index target of 1650 in the future.
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14
March
2017
Daily Focus : 14 March 2017, SET stabilized well; buy on weakness and then hold
(views 31)
Last night, the Dow continued to move within narrow range and eased after investors slowed their trading while waiting for
results from a Fed meeting tomorrows night (i.e. March 15) after it was widely anticipated that the Fed would hike policy rate. However, most European equity markets continued to end up well. Given that, most Asian stock markets continued to increase this morning. Meanwhile, global crude started to stabilize within narrow range, even though it was capped by concern over the rise in U.S. oil stockpiles after the number of oil rigs continued to increase. In Thailand, there is catalyst from the fact that foreign investors turned to record a net buy position. Given that, FSS expects the SET to steady waiting for a rebound to our end-2017 index target of 1650 in the future.
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13
March
2017
Daily Focus :13 March 2017, SET steadies amid volatility; buy on weakness
(views 31)
Last Fridays evening, U.S. non-farm payrolls came in strong as expected, while unemployment rate decreased to 4.7%, a level seen by investors as an indicator that there was high chance the Fed would hike policy rate at a meeting in the middle of this week. Although the Dow was quite volatile, it managed to end up. This morning, although Asian stock markets continued to be directionless, they steadied mostly. Given all that, FSS continues to believe the SET will be volatile, moving wildly within narrow range, to build up base and wait for support from buying that will support it to climb as expected. Note we still maintain our end-2017 index target at 1650.
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10
March
2017
Daily Focus : 10 March 2017, Buy on weakness and then hold
(views 50)
The U.S. stock market last night closed slightly up after fluctuations during sessions while European markets gained at
close as ECB held rates and vowed to carry on with its asset-buying program. Shares in Asia are trading mixed this morning. FSS believes
the SET will stabilize better and is about to gain shortly.
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09
March
2017
Daily Focus : 9 March 2017, SET begins to steady and likely to rebound; buy on weakness and then hold
(views 39)
In the U.S., stock market continued to end lower because global crude took a dive of over 5% after the EIA reported that
U.S. oil stockpiles continued to increase for the ninth straight week. Furthermore, there was concern over a Fed rate hike at a meeting next week after U.S. employment rate surged more than expected in February. In Europe, most equity markets continued to close up after Germans February manufacturing production index increased more than expected. In Asia, stock markets opened mixed within narrow range this morning. In Thailand, the SET started to see buyback following a sharp fall yesterday. Given all that, FSS believes the SET will stabilize better and is about to gain shortly.
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08
March
2017
Daily Focus : 8 March 2017, SETs upside widens; gradually buy and then hold
(views 57)
Last night, both U.S. and European stock markets continued to weaken. Besides the concern over a Fed rate increase at a
meeting next week (i.e. March 14-15), investors were also concerned over U.S. policy uncertainty after President Trump prepared to introduce a new health plan that will replace Obamacare. In Europe, German factory orders tumbled in January. Given that, investors will continue to keep an eye on ECB meeting tomorrow and U.S. non-farm payrolls on Fridays evening (i.e. March 10) in order to look for clue on a Fed rate hike next week. For these reasons, FSS still believes that the SET will continue to move down.
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07
March
2017
Daily Focus : 7 March 2017, SETs upside widens; recommend selective buy
(views 65)
This morning, investment sentiment in international equity markets was not bright after most U.S. and European stock
markets tumbled due to concern over a Fed rate hike at a meeting next week after the Fed Chairs supportive statement during her speech made late last week. Moreover, there was political tension after North Korea launched missiles in Japanese waters. In Europe, banks were pressured by reports that Deutsch Bank had announced more capital hike of €8bn, while the political uncertainty in France hit investment sentiment in equity markets. Finally, global crude remained directionless. Given all that, FSS expects the SET to continue to fall.
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06
March
2017
Daily Focus : 6 March 2017, SET likely to continue to fall; wait to buy on weakness
(views 52)
Last Fridays evening, the Fed Chair clearly signaled that the central bank was ready to raise benchmark rate at a meeting in March, if the economy expanded in line with its forecast. The comment was in tandem with the view made by several Fed officials earlier. Given that, the Dow swung back and forth within narrow range. Moreover, Asian equity markets continued to decrease this morning. Although global crude increased by over 1%, supported by U.S. dollar depreciation and evacuation of the workers at Es Sider Port in Libya
due to violence in the nearby area, there was pressure from the concern over increased supply after there was report that U.S. oil rigs continued to increase for the seventh straight week. For these reasons, FSS continues to believe that the SET still stand a chance to move down.
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03
March
2017
Daily Focus : 3 March 2017, SET likely to move down after rebounds; wait to buy on weakness
(views 54)
Last night, U.S. stock market turned to tumble by over 100 points after it continued to increase by more than two weeks and jumped the other day. As a result, there was selling to lock in profit once again. In particular, speculation started to increase that the Fed would hike policy rate at a meeting in the middle of this month, while investors chose to be on the sidelines, waiting for the Fed Chairs speech in Chicago in the evening. Given that, European equity markets were down last night, while its Asian peers decreased this morning. Although the loss was smaller than that in the U.S., it also has an impact on Thai equity market. Meanwhile, the SET has bounced back for three consecutive days and there is pressure from global crude which dropped by more than 2%. As a result, FSS continues to believe that the SETs rebound was temporary and the index will turn to move down again, as expected.
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02
March
2017
Daily Focus : 2 March 2017, Although SET likely to continue to gain, upside is limited and there is chance index will turn to decrease
(views 53)
The US$1bn budget that President Trump planned to invest in the countrys infrastructure helped stimulate equity markets on both sides of the Atlantic to end up by over 1% overnight. Moreover, it helped most Asian stock markets to continue to open high this morning. Given that, it should also support the SET to continue to rebound. However, President Trump was yet to provide clarity about timing of each measures and some investors might have persistent concern over U.S. rate hike whether it will take place at FOMC meeting on March 14-15 or not. Moreover, global crude turned to ease late in the night after it recovered in the evening following an EIA report that
U.S. oil inventory increased to record high. Hence, investors need to remain cautious as the SETs upside is limited and there is chance that the index will turn to decrease.
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01
March
2017
Daily Focus : 1 March 2017, SET still likely to continue to fall; wait to buy on weakness
(views 58)
The Dow started to see selling which pressured it to move in negative territory and end slightly lower after the index has increased for 12 straight trading days, while waiting for President Trumps State of the Union Address before Congress which is scheduled to take place this morning local time. Moreover, the Dow was pressured by U.S. GDP in 4Q16 which expanded lower than expected. However, most European stock markets continued to end higher. Given that, many Asian equity markets continued to open up. However, the gain was modest because they continued to be capped by global crude which started to weaken again. In this regard, FSS expects the SET to steady and continue to increase for a while as markets wait for details of U.S. economic stimulus. Nonetheless, gain should be limited. In
addition, investors need to remain cautious over selling that will pressure the index to turn to decrease in the end.
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28
February
2017
Daily Focus : 28 February 2017, Despite alternate gain, SET likely to continue to decrease
(views 63)
Last night, the Dow continued to end up for the 12th straight day after President Trump said that he would reveal mega
investment plan in infrastructure in his State of the Union Address before Congress this morning (local time). However, investors in
Europe chose to slow their trading while waiting for clarity from such address. This morning, Asian stock markets opened higher. Although
the gain was quite narrow, it should be sufficient for the SET to turn to increase. However, the gain will be just an alternate rebound in a
downward movement. As a result, the gain should be modest and the index is more likely to continue to ease.
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27
February
2017
Daily Focus : 27 February 2017, SET looks weak and likely to move lower
(views 57)
The Dow continued to end up for the 11th straight day as investors continued to wait for President Trumps State of the
Union Address before Congress this Tuesdays evening, at which markets anticipated details of tax reform plan to be disclosed. However, the gain started to get narrower, while most European stock markets continued to fall sharply. Given that, FSS expects the SET to weaken to a new low that is lower than 1560 shortly.
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24
February
2017
Daily Focus : 24 February 2017, SET looks weak; buy on weakness
(views 65)
This morning, Asian equity markets movement were not bright after the Dow continued to end up within narrow range. However, the index continued to hit new high for the 10th straight day, supported by a report that President Trump had pledged to bright employment back to the U.S. In addition, investors remained hopeful over U.S. tax reform plan. However, since there was no clarity, U.S. stock markets continued to be highly volatile intraday, while European equity markets were pressured by weak corporate earnings. Meanwhile, although global crude increased, the gain was still within the previous range. Given all that, FSS expects the SET to continue to decrease for a while before there is buying that will support the index to turn to increase to our target in the future.
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23
February
2017
Daily Focus : 23 February 2017, SET likely to decrease; buy on weakness
(views 57)
Although the Dow continued to end up and hit a record high for the ninth straight day last night, the index was volatile nearly all day. Moreover, the gain was modest, while most European equity markets continued to tread water within narrow range. Although there was positive news from Germanys business confidence index which came in higher than expected, some investors decided to wait for minutes of the FOMC meeting. According to the latest report, it was found that Fed officials had expressed confidence over the economy. In addition, they viewed that policy rate should increase shortly. Since the next Fed meeting is on March 14-15, there was considerable pressure on the sentiment in Asian stock markets this morning. Given that, FSS expects the SET to move down again before it turns to increase in the future.
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22
February
2017
Daily Focus : 22 February 2017, SETs fall serves as opportunity to buy
(views 89)
The sentiment in most U.S. and European stock markets turned brighter last night after investors remained optimistic about President Trumps tax reform plan, which is expected to provide strong support to the economy. Given that, there was speculative buying prior to U.S. Presidents State of the Union address on February 28 because its expected that President Trump will disclose details of his tax reform plan on that day. Such sentiment also helped support most Asian equity markets to open up as well. However, the gain was quite limited as some investors probably continued to wait for U.S. economic data that are due out late this week and minutes of FOMC meeting tonight to look for clue about a policy rate hike. In Thailand, the SET saw higher selling pressure yesterday. Given that, investors need to remain cautious over a fall.
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21
February
2017
Daily Focus : 21 February 2017, SET continues to see selling pressure; wait to buy on weakness
(views 61)
This morning, several Asian stock markets continued to increase. Last night, U.S. equity markets were closed to observe
Presidents Day. In Europe, although most stock markets ended lower, the loss was not large as investors were cautious in their trading while keeping an eye on the Euro group ministerial meeting, which will review Greeks economic policies before a new financial aid is approved. Given that, FSS expects the SET to move within narrow range. However, the index is more likely to move down due to lack of catalyst. Moreover, the index has sharply increased. Hence, some investors might want to sell to lock in profit and to reduce risk.
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20
February
2017
Daily Focus : 20 February 2017, Fall serves as opportunity to buy
(views 75)
Foreign equity markets were not very bright after the Dow moved in negative territory nearly all day last Friday as investors slowed their trading prior to a bank holiday on Monday, February 20 to observe Presidents Day. However, the U.S. index edged up before it was closed and was able to end slightly up after U.S. economic data came in strong, while earnings of some companies were strong. In Europe, most stock markets continued to be weak after construction activities in the eurozone slowed. Given that, Asian equity markets continued to open lower this morning. Although the loss was modest, it implies lack of confidence. As a result, FSS also expects the SET to turn to move downward as well.
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17
February
2017
Daily Focus : 17 February 2017, SET gains within narrow range due to selling pressure; wait to buy on weakness
(views 61)
Most U.S. and European stock markets turned to be weak again. Although the Dow continued to end up, the gain was modest and came after intraday loss. In particular, the U.S. main index was pressured by energy shares after there was concern over a rise in U.S. oil stockpiles. Although global crude increased thanks to optimism that OPEC members will continue to cooperate in their agreement to cut output, the gain was still within its narrow range. Given that, most Asian equity markets continued to open lower this morning, which should also put a cap on the SET. Furthermore, it should cause the index to turn to move in negative territory once again before it turns to rally in the next round.
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16
February
2017
Daily Focus : 16 February 2017, Despite support, SET likely to continue to fall; wait to buy on weakness
(views 67)
The SET saw support from buyback momentum before it was closed yesterday after the index has decreased quite
considerably lately. However, there was no fresh catalyst to provide support. Moreover, the Fed Chair hinted a near-term rate hike in her
speech, putting pressure on markets. Global crude remained volatile, moving within narrow range after the EIA reported that U.S. oil stockpiles increased for the sixth straight week, which triggered investor concern over persistent supply glut. In Asia, most stock markets turned to open lower, even though most U.S. and European stock markets closed up last night. Given that, FSS expects the SETs upside to be limited. Whats more, it is more like that it will fall before it turns to increase in the next round.
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15
February
2017
Daily Focus : 15 February 2017, Buy on weakness and then hold
(views 53)
International sentiment turned brighter. Although European stock markets moved rather directionless last night after Eurostat revealed that the eurozone economy in 4Q16 expanded at a slower rate than its initial forecast, the Dow turned to end strongly higher after banks surged in response to the Fed Chairs signal about a rate hike. Moreover, global crude sharply increased thanks to a report that the OPECs oil production decreased in January. However, Asian stock markets gain remained limited, pressured by a Fed rate hike. Hence, although FSS expects the SET to rebound, the gain should remain modest. Moreover, there is risk that the index will continue to decrease prior to rallies in the next round.
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14
February
2017
Daily Focus : 14 February 2017, Wait to buy on weakness
(views 60)
Most Asian equity markets continued to strongly increase when the SET was closed yesterday after both U.S. and European stock markets closed higher last Friday thanks to investor optimism over U.S. tax reform, which is widely expected to be announced in the next couple of weeks. Such positive view also helped equity markets on both sides of the Atlantic to end up last night thanks to speculation on the counters that are expected to benefit from such policy. In addition, markets saw catalyst from the European Commissions upgrading of its economic forecast for the EU. As a result, FSS expects the SET to continue to move in positive territory. However, we believe upside is limited and there is chance the index will decrease after global crude continued to decline after there was report that U.S. oil rigs increased.
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10
February
2017
Daily Focus : 10 February 2017, Despite alternate gain, SET likely to continue to decrease; buy on weakness
(views 84)
Most U.S. and European stock markets closed sharply higher last night. Specifically, the Dow surged to a new high after there was news that U.S. President prepared to announce major tax cut in the next 2-3 weeks. In Europe, stock markets were supported by strong corporate earnings and Germanys trade surplus which hit a record high after exports recovered. With that, most Asian equity markets opened higher this morning. This might support the SET to follow suit and increase after the index decreased quite sharply yesterday. However, FSS continues to recommend that our investors watch out on selling to lock in profit when the index increases because the selling will pressure it to decrease after there is no fresh catalyst to provide support. Moreover, the SET will be closed for a special holiday next week (February 13). For this reason, some investors might sell in order to reduce market volatility risk.
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09
February
2017
Daily Focus : 9 February 2017, Despite alternate gain, SET still likely to decrease; buy on weakness
(views 79)
This morning, investment sentiment in foreign equity markets was weak after U.S. stock market decreased to move in negative territory last night. Although the loss was not large, the index moved in negative territory nearly all day following investors sell off of financials shares after U.S. bond yield narrowed. In Europe, most stock markets continued to move up and down in narrow range. Given that, most Asian equity markets continued to be volatile within narrow range. In Thailand, although there was buyback to provide support, the SET was volatile and moved sideways within its previous range as the market lacked both fresh catalyst and new negative factor. However, the index has rallied quite sharply earlier. As a result, FSS views that investors need to watch out on selling to lock in profit, which will pressure the market to decrease.
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08
February
2017
Daily Focus : 8 February 2017, Despite alternate gain, SET likely to continue to decrease
(views 63)
Last night, Wall Street increased to a new high thanks to strong corporate earnings and a larger-than-expected decline in U.S. trade balance in December. In Europe, most equity markets ended sharply higher after the euro decreased, helping investor see European exporters in a more positive light. Given that, there is chance that the SET will increase after it has considerably decreased yesterday. However, most Asian equity markets opened higher in narrow range this morning, while some continued to decrease. Moreover, although the Dow increased to a record high intraday, it ended slightly up and below its daily peak. As a result, FSS expects the SET to inch up before it turns to decrease because there is no new catalyst to provide support.
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07
February
2017
Daily Focus : 7 February 2017, SET still likely to fall; wait to buy on weakness
(views 69)
Foreign investment sentiment turned to weaken after U.S. stock markets moved mostly in negative territory last night. However, the loss was modest. To elaborate, investors remained concerned over the conflicts from the immigration ban on seven Muslim-majority countries to the U.S. In Europe, equity markets were worried over Volkswagen after the company was sued again over emission fraud. Moreover, global crude dropped by over 1.5% due to a continuous rise in U.S. oil rigs. As a result, energy shares fell quite sharply. Since such losses caused many Asian stock markets to open lower, FSS also expects the SET to turn to decrease after its recent rebounds.
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06
February
2017
Daily Focus : 6 February 2017, SET still likely to fall; wait to buy on weakness
(views 68)
This morning, foreign equity markets were quite bright after both U.S. and European equity markets ended strongly higher last Friday, responding to U.S. non-farm payrolls in January which came in stronger than expected. Moreover, global crude also increased, positively reacting after oil producing countries cut their production as agreed. However, the gain was quite small. In addition, although most Asian stock markets opened mostly up, they remained volatile and the SET has significantly increased. Hence, upside to our index target of 1650 is quite limited. Finally, markets continue to lack catalyst. As a result, investors need to remain cautious over selling which will pressure the index to decrease.
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03
February
2017
Daily Focus : 3 February 2017, SET has limited upside and more likely to fall
(views 67)
Investment sentiment in international stock markets was not bad this morning. Both U.S. and European equity markets were down due to concern over the tension between U.S. President and other leaders. In addition, there was pressure from Deutsche Banks loss, while global crude weakened after the EIA reported that U.S. oil inventory increased more than expected last week. However, most Asian equity markets opened higher this morning after they decreased quite sharply yesterday. Given that, FSS expects the SET to be volatile, moving within its previous range. Nonetheless, the index has increased quite sharply and quickly in the last round, while upside to our index target of 1650 is quite narrow and markets lack catalyst. Hence, there is risk that the index will continue to fall rather than turning to rise. For this reason, we recommend that investors wait to buy on weakness.
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02
February
2017
Daily Focus : 2 February 2017, SET likely to continue to fall; wait to buy on weakness
(views 82)
The SET continued to see buyback momentum which supported the index when it decreased. Given that, there is still chance the index will turn to increase. This morning, there continues to be support thanks to a rise in Asian stock markets after both U.S. and European equity markets ended higher, positively responding to the Feds decision to keep benchmark rate unchanged. Moreover, the U.S. Central Bank had positive view on the economy and there was support from the strong earnings of Apple Inc., Volvo and Siemens SE, while there was positive factor from a report that the eurozones manufacturing activities were strong . Meanwhile, crude recovered once again after the EIA indicated that U.S. oil production decreased last week. Whats more, there was a report that both OPEC and non-OPEC oil producing countries joined hands to cut their output in January. However, The Asian gain was limited and they continued to be volatile. Hence, FSS expects the SETs gain to also be narrow. Finally, investors need to remain cautious over a fall.
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01
February
2017
Daily Focus : 1 February 2017, SET beings to fall; wait to buy on weakness
(views 81)
Last night, both U.S. and European stock markets continued to end lower due to a number of reasons. First, there was concern over the immigration ban on seven Muslim countries. Second, they were pressured by weak earnings results of large U.S. companies. Third, U.S. consumer confidence index decreased in January. Fourth, investors were worried about the profit potential of export companies in Europe after the euro appreciated against U.S. dollar. Given that, FSS maintains our call for investors to exercise caution on index fall. However, many Asian stock markets started to gain this morning thanks probably to a recovery in global crude price after output of the OPEC decreased in January. For this reason, the SET might steady and slightly rebound before it turns to fall.
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31
January
2017
Daily Focus : 31 January 2017, SET looks weak; wait to buy on weakness
(views 73)
Investment sentiment in international equity markets was not bright because both U.S. and European stock markets ended quite sharply lower last night. Airlines took the hardest hit after President Trump had signed an executive order, putting a ban on citizens of seven Muslim nations from entering the U.S. Moreover, investors feared that such measures might result in international conflicts. Meanwhile, global crude remained under pressure from the rise in U.S. oil rigs, which might deter the attempt to cut output by other oil producing countries. This morning, most Asian equity markets continued to move lower after more resumed their trading after Lunar New Year. Given that, FSS expects the SET to continue to ease at least for while.
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30
January
2017
Daily Focus : 30 January 2017, Despite support, SET likely to continue to fall
(views 75)
We believe there is chance the SET will continue to fall because the Asian equity markets that were open this morning decreased after both U.S. and European stock markets were down. Such losses were attributed to the lower-than-expected rise in U.S. 2Q16 GDP. Moreover, earnings results of both U.S. and European companies that came in lately were quite disappointing. Finally, global crude continued to decrease after there was report that U.S. oil rigs increased last week. Given that, FSS expects the SET to continue to fall for a while before there is buyback to support the SET to increase in the next round.
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27
January
2017
Daily Focus : 27 January 2017, SET has limited upside; wait to buy on weakness
(views 82)
We expect the SET to be more volatile and there is chance the index will begin to ease to move in negative territory after both U.S. and European stock markets started to gain at a slower pace. In addition, many decreased after U.S. new home sales fell to touch its 10-month low. Meanwhile, the Baht began to decrease again after its recent quick rally. Whats more, the SET has climbed quite sharply. Hence, upside starts to narrow to the point that it is unattractive to place more bets. On top of that, there is no fresh catalyst to provide support. As a result, investors need to be cautious over selling to lock in profit, which will pressure the SET to decrease shortly.
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26
January
2017
Daily Focus : 26 January 2017, Upside limited; wait to buy on weakness
(views 78)
This morning, investment sentiment from international equity markets continued to provide support after Wall Street rallied by over 100 points, the second straight day. Such rise was supported by optimism that the U.S. president would launch measures that are supportive for businesses and employments. Moreover, earnings results of large companies continued to be bright. Given that, Asian stock markets continued to open higher this morning. However, most of the gain was modest. Meanwhile, global crude remained capped due to concern over supply glut after the EIA disclosed U.S. oil inventories increased last week. For these reasons, FSS believes the SETs upside is limited, particularly after the index has sharply increased. Whats more, we continue to recommend that investors remain cautious over volatility and a fall.
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25
January
2017
Daily Focus : 25 January 2017, Despite gain, SETs upside limited; wait to buy on weakness
(views 76)
This morning, investment sentiment in international equity markets were brighter after Wall Street turned to end up by
over 100 points, positively responding to large U.S. companies strong earnings. In addition, they were supported by the strong U.S. economic data. In the U.K., there is yet another hurdle for Brexit to pass, i.e. a parliamentary approval, following the Supreme Courts ruling yesterday. Given that, investors were more at ease about the adverse impact because it will take some time. However, the SET has quickly increased. Whats more the Bahts gain started to slow and the currency might ease shortly. Global crude that increased to price in the news about oil producing countries output cut began to be directionless. Hence, we expect investors to remain on the sidelines, waiting for the EIAs U.S. oil inventories report today. Furthermore, FSS maintain our call for investors to exercise caution over volatility and a fall.
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24
January
2017
Daily Focus : 24 January 2017, SET likely to rebound briefly before fall; buy on weakness
(views 76)
We expect the SET to be pressured by both U.S. and European stock markets which were mostly on a downward path after
investors feared that U.S. President Trumps protectionism policies might lead to global trade war. In his latest move, the new U.S.
President has signed an executive order to officially withdraw the U.S. from the TPP and there was report that he was preparing to ink another order, which would put the U.S. on a negotiation table under the NAFTA with Canada and Mexico in order to protect his country from being at a disadvantage in trades. Besides such anxiety, there was also pressure from a fall in global crude after U.S. oil rigs increased last week. Finally, the SET did not decrease much from the last round of rallies. Given all that, FSS continues to believe there is risk markets will continue to fall.
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23
January
2017
Daily Focus : 23 January 2017, Despite recovery, watch out on volatility and retreat
(views 77)
Although the new U.S. Presidents inaugural speech which confirmed his "America First" policy provided support for U.S.
equity markets to end up by nearly 100 points, it put only slight pressure on Asian stock markets this morning because there was no
clear detail. Given that, U.S. dollar weakened, while global crude continued to recover as the market waited for results on OPEC member countries output cut, which is due out in Vienna today. In Thailand, although there is still prospect that the SET will increase in line with regional equity markets, FSS believes upside is quite limited. Moreover, it is likely that the index will be volatile and retreat, while waiting for clarity.
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20
January
2017
Daily Focus : 20 January 2017, Despite continuous fall, downside begins to narrow; buy on weakness
(views 74)
This morning, international investment sentiment was not very bright because most U.S. and European equity markets
continued to end lower after investors slowed their trading prior to Mr.Trumps inauguration today. However, the higher-than-expected rise in U.S. housing start in December lent support to most stock markets, saving them from sharp fall. This morning, most Asian equity markets continued to be volatile and moved within narrow range with negative bias. Given that, FSS expects the SET to continue to move lower. However, downside should begin to narrow. Furthermore, we believe the index will stabilize better thanks to buying to bet on earnings results and dividend announcement in the future.
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19
January
2017
Daily Focus : 19 January 2017, Despite loss, SET still stands chance to turn to increase; wait to buy on weakness
(views 89)
After the SET has closed down for three consecutive days, today there might be buyback that supports the index to
somewhat increase. Although U.S. stock markets continued to close down last night due to concern over a Fed rate hike after U.S. inflation increased for the fifth straight month, the Feds Chair confirmed after hour that the rise would be gradual. Given that, most Asian equity markets were able to open up this morning. However, FSS believes the SETs gain will be limited after the Baht started to ease again, while global crude also tumbled. For this reason, chance that the SET will fall gain is still high.
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18
January
2017
Daily Focus : 18 January 2017, SET poised to continue to fall; buy on weakness
(views 78)
The Brexit talk put a cap on both U.S. and European equity markets, causing them to open lower. Although the mention
that final decision would come from a parliamentary resolution had somewhat helped support equity markets, selling in financials and
industrials continued to pressure them after U.S. President-elect expressed his view that U.S. dollar appreciation had adverse impact on
U.S. economy. Given that, most Asian stock markets continued to open lower this morning. In Thailand, FSS expects the SET to continue to
decrease for a while before there is buying to push the index back in the next round.
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17
January
2017
Daily Focus : 17 January 2017, SET likely to continue to fall, serving as opportunity to buy
(views 76)
Last night, U.S. stock markets were closed to observe Martin Luther King Jr. Day, while most European equity markets ended
lower due to concern over negative impact which might stem after the U.K. initiates the process to leave the EU. Given that, most Asian stock markets continued to open lower this morning. In Thailand, there was still pressure from selling when markets increased. Given that, FSS expects the SET to continue to move sideways down for a while before
it turns to move up in the future. At the current level, markets imply limited upside from our target.
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16
January
2017
Daily Focus : 16 January 2017, SET steadies amid selling pressure, making it likely to fall
(views 79)
U.S. stock markets were quite volatile late last week before it ended modestly lower after U.S. economic data was directionless. Although PPI increased, as expected, retail sales were up at a slower pace than expected. Given that, Asian equity markets continued to see pressure from selling, which caused them to continue to decrease this morning. Moreover, we believe that it will put a cap on Thai stock markets at this time after Thai indexes have rallied quite sharply in the last two weeks. In addition, we begin to see pressure from selling last week, which pressured the SET to be more volatile. As a result, FSS expects the SET to continue to move downward before it turns to increase in the future.
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13
January
2017
Daily Focus : 13 January 2017, SET probably in retreat, offering opportunity for selective buy
(views 83)
Last night, most U.S. and European equity markets turned to close down, pressured by a fall in pharmaceutical shares after the U.S. President-elect attacked the pharmaceutical industry at his first news conference the other day. Moreover, investors were disappointed that he did not reveal details on economic stimulus. As a result, most Asian stock markets continued to be quite volatile this morning. In addition, several continued to decrease. In Thailand, the SET saw selling pressure for many days after the index had rallied sharply earlier. For this reason, FSS expects the SET to continue to ease for a while before it turns to increase again in the future.
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12
January
2017
Daily Focus : 12 January 2017, SET continues to see pressure from selling; wait to buy on weakness
(views 89)
Last night, the U.S. president-elect Donald Trump made his first news conference after his victory in the presidential
election. It helped support Wall Street to rise for the first time in three days because at the media gathering he reaffirmed his intention to make America great again. In addition, global crude soared by nearly 3% after there was news that Saudi Arabia signaled its readiness to
further cut production. However, most Asian equity markets continued to be volatile and move within narrow range when they opened this
morning, while some continued to open lower and moved in negative territory. For this reason, FSS believes there is chance the SET will
open down after we have seen more pressure from selling at yesterdays close.
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11
January
2017
Daily Focus : 11 January 2017, Despite rebound, SET likely to continue to fall, serving as opportunity to buy
(views 78)
Several Asian equity markets continued to open higher. Even though Wall Street ended slightly down overnight, European stock markets continued to close up after U.S. dollar began to increase at a slower pace. However, the SET has rallied quite sharply even before the New Year, while there was no new catalyst. Given that, we begin to see selling to lock in profit in the last two days. Meanwhile, markets continue to see pressure from global crude which continued to drop by over 2% after it was reported that oil production increased in both the U.S. and Iraq. In addition, there is still concern over Italys banking sector and some investors might still want to wait for the U.S. president-elects first press conference tonight.
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10
January
2017
Daily Focus : 10 January 2017, SETs fall serves as opportunity to accumulate
(views 82)
This morning, investment sentiment in foreign equity markets was not bright because most U.S. and European stock markets ended lower last night after Lufthansa revised down its earnings forecast. In addition, global crude continued to fall by nearly 4% following the release of a report that U.S. oil rigs increased for the 10th week in a row. Given that, we expect the poor sentiment to put pressure on most Asian stock markets, causing them to move mostly in negative territory. In Thailand, stock markets need to remain cautious over selling in LTF, which might continue to put a cap on the SET. However, FSS believes downside is limited as the Baht continued to appreciate.
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09
January
2017
Daily Focus : 9 January 2017, SET likely to ease in near future; wait to buy on weakness
(views 95)
Although the Dow decreased by over 60 points in the beginning of last Fridays session, there continued to be buyback that supported the index to turn to increase by about 100 points and ended the day with a gain of over 60 points instead. In Europe, equity markets continued to close up as investors responded positively to U.S. non-farm payrolls in December, even though it increased less than expected, while global crude remained on its upward path. However, most Asian stock markets has considerably increased. As a result, there continued to be pressure from selling to lock in profit this morning, which made some of them to decrease. In Thailand, the SET has
increased quite sharply in almost 10 days. Hence, FSS believes the SET is likely to ease in the near future.
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06
January
2017
Daily Focus : 6 January 2017, Wait for buying weakness
(views 90)
The SET is expected to fluctuate after Wall Street and European markets closed lower. Macy’s posts disappointing holiday sales, likely to cuts workers and move forward with more than 60 store closures. ADP report was lower than market estimate. Investors are eying on jobs report tonight. The SET in the short term may be supported by increasing oil prices, but investors should remain cautious over selling to lock in profit.
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05
January
2017
Daily Focus : 5 January 2017, Beware of correction, wait for buying weakness
(views 90)
After surging more than 60 points last week, the SET could see some correction in the near future. LTF redemption could be sold. Asian equity markets are mixed in early trade today despite Wall Street and European shares closed higher. Investors should remain cautious over selling to lock in profit when the index increases.
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04
January
2017
Daily Focus : 4 January 2017, Beware of correction, wait for buying weakness
(views 83)
The SET is expected to rise today supported by strong PMI of China and the US as well as foreign equity markets closed in green. However, investors should remain cautious over selling to lock in profit when the index increases after global crude continued to weaken.
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30
December
2016
Daily Focus : 30 December 2016, Beware of early selling spree in bourse in early next year
(views 83)
Investors should beware of early selling spree in bourse after streak of mini rally moving close to our target of 1,550.
Our SET index target in 2017 of 1,650, assuming 12% EPS growth, offers limited upside from the current index level. Early next year, global investors still weigh Trump’s policy. LTF redemption could be sold. We suggest investors reduce portfolio risk, holding more cash.
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29
December
2016
Daily Focus : 29 December 2016, Wait to sell at target
(views 73)
SET Index would possibly slide today after 3 days of 30-point gains together with soft sentiment from Wall Street. US
indices pulled back from all-time high as pending home sales fell sharply. European stocks were mixed as investors keep a close eye on Banking sector. We expect SET index has limited downside supported by year-end buying in LTF/RMF and slight oil price increase.
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28
December
2016
Daily Focus : 28 December 2016, Wait to sell at target
(views 66)
US stocks ended slightly higher Tuesday supported by strong economic news while European stocks little changed. Investors
are still cautious around the broader Italian banking sector. Asian shares trade mixed in early trade today. We expect the SET index to fluctuate between small gains and losses, supported by slight oil price increase and year-end buying in LTF/RMF.
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27
December
2016
Daily Focus : 27 December 2016, Wait to sell at target
(views 75)
Asian shares resume trading today and are moderately higher in early trade. We expect the SET index to follow climb up to positive territory thanks to year-end buying in LTF/RMF. Oil gains ahead of OPEC and Non-OPEC cut, supporting downside the stock market.
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26
December
2016
Daily Focus : 26 December 2016, SET likely to rebound
(views 63)
Market volume is expected to thin out as many major equity markets are closed for Christmas holidays. Many investors are sitting on the sidelines, but losses are expect to limit while there is prospect that the index will rebound to move in positive territory thanks to year-end buying in LTF/RMF.
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23
December
2016
Daily Focus : 23 December 2016, Despite volatility, SET likely to steady and increase
(views 69)
This morning, foreign equity markets continued to be volatile and move within narrow range. To elaborate, although U.S.
stock markets continued to fall, the loss was quite small as investors slowed their trading before they are closed for Christmas holiday. Moreover, U.S. economic data were quite directionless. In particular, U.S.s final 3Q16 GDP estimate is higher than its first two forecasts. However, U.S. weekly jobless claims came in higher than expected, while November consumer spending recorded smaller-than-expected gain. In Europe, equity markets remained concerned over the stability of Italys banking sector. Given that, Asian stock markets opened lower this morning. Nonetheless, the loss was modest because there was support from a slight recovery in global crude. For this reason, FSS expects the SETs downside to be limited and there is prospect that the index will rebound to move in positive territory in the future.
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22
December
2016
Daily Focus : 22 December 2016, Despite fall, SET has strong support from buying; wait to sell at target
(views 83)
Foreign stock markets were quite volatile. Last night, both U.S. and European equity markets turned to end lower, pressured
by concern over Italys banking sector after the countrys third largest bank admitted that if unable to raise capital, it might be able to go on for just four months. In addition, global crude tumbled after the EIA reported that U.S. oil stockpiles increased in the last week, which is the opposite of street consensus for a fall. However, the losses were quite limited partly because it is now close to Christmas and New Year holidays. Given that, there is chance that selling will decrease. In Thailand, FSS expects the SETs downside to be limited. Furthermore, there is prospect that the index will rebound to move in positive territory thanks to year-end buying in LTF/RMF.
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21
December
2016
Daily Focus : 21 December 2016, SET likely to fall briefly prior to increase; maintain hold
(views 62)
Investment sentiment in foreign equity markets somewhat improved after both U.S. and European stock markets ended
up. Such gains were supported by a rise in banks after there was report that Italian government was preparing to help its financially troubled banks. In addition, investors remained hopeful that the working team of the next U.S. president would help revive U.S. banking sector. Meanwhile, global crude continued to recover, despite volatility and a slower rate of gain, as investors expected U.S. oil inventories, which is due out this evening, would decrease. Given that, FSS anticipates the SET to steady and there is chance that the index will turn to increase. However, investors need to remain cautious over volatility as the Baht continued to weaken.
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20
December
2016
Daily Focus : 20 December 2016, Expect SETs downside to be limited; recommend hold, waiting to sell at target
(views 73)
Last night, U.S. stock markets continued to move in positive territory, responding to the Feds statement that U.S. labor
market was near its 10-year peak. Given that, Asian equity markets movement started to get better this morning. In Thailand, FSS expects
the SET to climb thanks to buying in LTF/RMF at year-end. However, investors need to remain cautious over volatility. In particular, part of
the selling might come from concern over the news that Russian ambassador to Turkey was shot dead because the situation might taint
Russia-Turkey relationship. However, we believe the SETs downside is quite limited.
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19
December
2016
Daily Focus : 19 December 2016, Despite SETs loss, investors can wait to sell into strength
(views 70)
Investment sentiment in foreign equity markets was not bright this morning because Wall Street closed slightly lower due to the tension in the South China Sea after there was report that Chinese navy seized U.S. drone. Moreover, U.S. housing starts decreased more than expected in November, while crudes rally began to decelerate
and the Baht weakened. However, since we are now in the last two weeks of the year, FSS expects buying in LTF/RMF to help support the market. In this regard, the SETs downside is limited and there is
chance that the index will turn to rally to our target of 1550.
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16
December
2016
Daily Focus : 16 December 2016, Upside has narrowed; wait to take profit when index
(views 58)
Although the U.S. policy rate hike will continue to put pressure on Asian stock markets, investors have mostly factored in such news. Moreover, U.S. economic data came in strong. In particular, U.S. jobless claims decreased more than expected. They helped stimulate Wall Street and most European stock markets to turn to end up. Finally, global crude also slightly recovered after it fell to touch US$50 a barrel. Given that, many Asian stock markets began to see buyback that supported them to move in positive territory once again. In Thailand, the SET still has catalyst from buying in LTF/RMF in the last weeks of this year, which will provide support for the market. For this reason, FSS expects the SET to steady, waiting for a chance to
rally. However, investors need to be cautious over volatility after the Baht continued to decrease.
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15
December
2016
Daily Focus : 15 December 2016, Believe SET only takes breather after last round of rallies and
(views 66)
Last night, most European stock markets ended lower while waiting for results from FOMC meeting, which was widely
anticipated to hike policy rate for the first time this year. As it happened, the result is in line. The Fed announced a rise on its shortterm
rate by 0.25% and signaled that it would raise the benchmark rate three times next year. Such news put pressure on Wall Street, which
moved within narrow range in the beginning, and caused the Dow to end lower by nearly 100 points. Given that, most Asian equity markets
opened lower this morning as U.S. dollar appreciation pressured Asian currencies, the Baht included, to decrease. However, FSS continues to
believe that the SETs downside is limited. Moreover, there is still chance that the Thai main index will increase as expected thanks to
buying in LTF/RMF in the last few weeks of this year.
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14
December
2016
Daily Focus : 14 December 2016, SET likely to continue to increase to target, but upside starts to get narrow; recommend sell to lock in profit
(views 65)
This morning, investment sentiment remains good after Wall Street continued to end higher amid heavy trading after there was anticipation that the Fed would raise policy rate at this meeting. In Europe, most stock markets also ended higher, supported by a rebound in bank shares after Unicredit, a large bank in Italy, announced restructuring. Moreover, global crude also ended up after the EIA has revised up its global oil demand forecast for this year and next, while the Baht slightly appreciated. With that, FSS expects the SET to continue to rally, even though it was volatile and might decrease after most Asian equity markets continued to be volatile and decreased this morning.
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13
December
2016
Daily Focus : 13 December 2016, SET likely to be more volatile; wait to sell into strength
(views 63)
Wall Street continued to end up at a new high, supported by a rise in global crude after a production cut deal. The rise
also supported Asian stock markets to turn to increase this morning after most of them ended lower on December 12, while Thai stock
markets were closed. The Asian losses yesterday is attributed to strong U.S. economic data, which kept alive investor concern over a Fed rate hike a meeting on December 13-14. Given that, FSS expects the SET to remain volatile. Moreover, it might ease again after Thai stock markets has rallied quite sharply in the past 2-3 weeks. However, downside should be limited because there is support from a rise in global crude. Furthermore, the Bahts loss also decelerate and there were even times that the currency appreciated.
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09
December
2016
Daily Focus : 9 December 2016, SET close to target and implies limited upside; gradually sell
(views 73)
This morning, foreign equity markets were quite bright after the ECB resolved to extend its asset purchase by another nine months. Given that, most U.S. and European stock markets continued to end strongly up. Meanwhile, global crude also recovered by over 2% thanks to speculative buying before a meeting between OPEC and non-OPEC countries tomorrow (i.e. December 10), which should help support the SET to continue to rally, as expected. However, the ECB president also indicated that a cut in its asset purchase will still start after 1Q17. As a result, Asian equity markets gain this morning started to be limited. Whats more, the Thai index has increased to where it is now close to our target of 1550 and implies limited upside. In addition, equity in the TIP markets will be closed on Monday, December 12. Hence, investors need to be cautious over selling which will pressure the SET to be volatile and retreat.
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08
December
2016
Daily Focus : 8 December 2016, SET likely to continue to increase amid volatility
(views 78)
Yesterday, the SET started to see support from buying once again, particularly in large cap counters. Moreover, foreign
equity markets movement also continued to be bright this morning after both U.S. and European stock markets surged and ended up quite strongly thanks to the anticipation that the ECB will extend its QE at a meeting today to intercept possible impacts from the Italian referendum result the other day. Given that, most Asian equity markets opened higher this morning. In Thailand, although the SET is likely to continue to rally as we have anticipated, investors need to remain cautious over selling to lock in profit when the index increases after global crude continued to weaken. Whats more, the SET will be closed on a bank holiday early next week (i.e. December 12) before there will be FOMC meeting on December 13-14. As a result, there is chance that the index will increase amid volatility.
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07
December
2016
Daily Focus : 7 December 2016, SET starts to rebound; recommend hold in order to sell into strength
(views 78)
Sentiment in most foreign stock markets remains bright after both U.S. and European stock markets continued to end up
last night. Such gains were made possible by strong U.S. economic data. Specifically, factory orders surged to its one-year high. Moreover, investors were hopeful about an ECB meeting due tomorrow (December 8). In Thailand, the SET saw stronger buyback momentum since yesterdays afternoon. Given that, FSS expects such momentum to continue to support the SET to continue to rally, as expected. However, investors need to remain cautious over volatility and weakness while the index increases. Such scenario is likely to be pressured by global crude which began to decrease and investors decision to remain on the sidelines, waiting for ECB meeting results tomorrow.
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06
December
2016
Daily Focus : 6 December 2016, SETs loss serves as opportunity to buy
(views 71)
Yesterday (i.e. December 5), the SET was closed for a day, while most international markets tumbled quite considerably due
to the concern over a Fed rate hike after U.S. non-farm payrolls increased, as expected. Moreover, Italians voted no in a referendum result for constitutional reform. Given that, investors were concerned about Italys stability. However, the ECB plans a policy meeting on December 8, when investors believe that the central bank is ready to raise its purchase of Italian bonds. As a result, many Asian stock markets started to recover this morning. In Thailand, FSS continues to
believe that the SETs downside is limited and there is prospect that the Thai main index will continue to rally, supported by domestic factors.
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02
December
2016
Daily Focus : 2 December 2016, SET still stands a chance to rally, recommend hold
(views 77)
Wall Street continued to rally to end at a record high last night. The gain was supported by a rise in energy shares which positively responded to an OPECs resolution to slash output. However, there was pressure from tech shares fall. Given that, the gain was limited. Meanwhile, most European equity markets were down as investors slowed their trading while keeping an eye on Italys constitutional referendum on December 4. Given that, many Asian
stock markets decreased this morning. Meantime, the SET saw higher selling pressure yesterdays afternoon. Hence, there is prospect that the index will continue to fall. Nonetheless, the Bahts outlook begins to turn upward. Hence, FSS expects downside to be limited and it is still possible that the index will continue to rally as anticipated.
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01
December
2016
Daily Focus : 1 December 2016, Although SET likely to continue to rally, watch out on
(views 71)
This morning, Asian stock markets continued to open strong after global crude surged by over 9% last night thanks to in-line OPEC meeting result. Specifically, the oil cartel has cut a deal to slash its oil production for the first time in eight years. Given that, FSS believes that the SET will continue to rally. However, Wall Street began to see selling that pressured it to ease and end only slightly up after investors turned to concerned again about the outlook that the Fed would raise policy rate at a meeting in mid this month (December 13-14) instead. Meantime, some investors continued to wait for U.S.
non-farm payrolls, which are due out this Friday, while the Baht continued to weaken. Hence, we recommend that investors watch out on market volatility.
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30
November
2016
Daily Focus : 30 November 2016, SET likely to ease prior to rallies; recommend hold
(views 81)
Last night, both U.S. and European stock markets turned to end up. However, the gains were quite limited. They were supported by U.S. 3Q16 GDP which expanded the most in two years and house price which surged to its 10-year high. However, they were capped by global crude which tumbled by nearly 4% after Russia, a non-OPEC member, refused to attend the meeting scheduled on November 30 because it would like the OPEC to talk among them first. Given that, investors were not confident about results from the meeting much. Today, although Asian stock markets opened higher, they moved within narrow range. As a result, FSS expects the SET to steady, moving within narrow range while waiting for OPEC meeting result today.
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29
November
2016
Daily Focus : 29 November 2016, SET might ease before it turns to rally
(views 67)
Global crude decreased, putting considerable intraday pressure on the SET. Moreover, it put a cap on both U.S. and European stock markets in the evening, making them move mostly in negative territory. However, the loss was modest. After which, crude turned to recover. Specifically, it rallied by over 2% after there was report that Iraq was ready to cooperate with OPEC members in order to reach a deal that is acceptable to all parties. As a result, although the SET might continue to be pressured by the weak sentiment abroad, FSS expects downside to be limited thanks to support from the oil price recovery. Whats more, U.S. dollar started to depreciate lately, helping the Baht to appreciate. Given all that, we expect the SET to move sideways up.
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28
November
2016
Daily Focus : 28 November 2016, Despite volatility, SET likely to turn to climb; recommend
(views 74)
U.S. and European stock markets continued to end higher thanks to speculative buying in commerce shares, which were
expected to benefit from Black Friday sales (November 25) before Christmas. However, they did not support sentiment in Asia much this morning because global crude turned to tumble by nearly 4% due to the concern that the OPEC would not reach a deal to cut oil production on this Wednesday (November 30) after Saudi Arabia had pulled out from
an informal meeting due to take place today (November 28). Given that, FSS expects the SET to be volatile and retreat. However, we believe downside is limited and there is chance that the index will turn to climb as we has anticipated.
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25
November
2016
Daily Focus : 25 November 2016, SET likely to ease briefly before rally
(views 76)
Investment sentiment in international equity markets was brighter this morning. Wall Street was closed last night to observe Thanksgiving day, resulting in steady U.S. dollar. In Europe, most equity markets continued to end up after German economic data came in strong. Given that, Asian stock markets opened higher this morning. Although the gain was quite modest, it should help support buying in Thai equity markets. Given all that, FSS expects the SET to ease only briefly. Moreover, downside is likely to be limited. Specifically, we expect buyback momentum to help drive the index to climb, as expected. As we are about to enter the last month of the year, foreign investors selling should get narrower. In addition, there should be a driver from buying in both LTF/RMF as we are about to turn the corner to next year.
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24
November
2016
Daily Focus : 24 November 2016, SET likely to ease before turning to rally after days of gain
(views 73)
Last night, Wall Street continued to close up. To elaborate, it ended at a new high, for the third straight day, thanks to
a report on U.S. durable goods orders in October, which surged to its one-year high. However, such gain caused U.S. dollar to continue to appreciation, which in turn pressured Asian currencies to turn to decrease. Given that, most Asian equity markets opened lower this morning. In Thailand, FSS expects the Asian loss to pressure the SET to also decrease after Thai equity markets have considerably increased this week. Nonetheless, we expect the SETs downside to be quite limited after global crude stabilized well, while waiting for OPEC meeting on November 30, which should serve as a catalyst. Whats more, foreign net outflow decreased, while its now close to year-end. Hence, there should be buying in LTF/RMF to support the market.
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23
November
2016
Daily Focus : 23 November 2016, Despite volatility, SET likely to continue to rally
(views 90)
The SET has increased sharply in the last three days, while there was no clear catalyst, causing market volatility to increase
quite considerably. For this reason, we recommend that investors watch out on a fall after global crude turned to decrease. However,
FSS expects the SETs loss, if any, to be quite limited after most foreign equity markets continued to strongly increase. Looking ahead, FSS views that the decline in foreign investors net outflow will give rise to domestic funds role. Since the end of 2016 draws near, we could expect buying in LTF/RMF to help support near-term markets. Strategy: After bets are placed, we now recommend that investors continue to hold because we expect the SET to continue to rally.
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22
November
2016
Daily Focus : 22 November 2016, SET likely to continue to increase; recommend hold
(views 81)
Wall Street and most European stock markets ended strongly higher yesterday, supported by global crude which surged by
nearly 4% after Russia announced its readiness to cooperate in output freeze and expressed confidence that the OPEC would cut a deal at a meeting on November 30. Meanwhile, U.S. dollar started to ease slightly, triggering the Baht to appreciate. This morning, most Asian equity markets continued to open higher. Given that, FSS believes the SET will continue to increase. However, investors should be cautious about volatility as the concern over a Fed rate hike continues to put a cap on markets.
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21
November
2016
Daily Focus : 21 November 2016, SET stabilizes better and likely to rebound; recommend hold
(views 74)
Last week, U.S. dollars gain started to slow after investors feared that the quick U.S. dollar appreciation might hurt earnings of export-dependent companies. Given that, the Bahts fall began to ease. Meanwhile, global crude turned to recover again, supported by an anticipation that the OPEC would reach a deal to cut oil production an informal meeting on November 30. As a result, FSS expects the SET to see limited downside and there is prospect that the index will turn to rebound again shortly.
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18
November
2016
Daily Focus : 18 November 2016, SET sees support amid fall; recommend hold
(views 80)
U.S. dollar continued to appreciate, pressuring the Baht to turn to weaken, after the Fed chair testified before Congress
that a rate hike might take place shortly. Given that, investors believed that the FOMC would raise policy rate at a meeting on
December 13-14. For this reason, there is chance that the SET will continue to retreat today. However, Asian equity markets did not
respond negatively this morning as most of them continued to move in narrow range due to optimism that the Fed would gradually increase
benchmark rate. Meanwhile, global crude was pressured as investors waited for the OPECs and Russias stance at an informal meeting this
weekend.
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17
November
2016
Daily Focus : 17 November 2016, SET still likely to continue to increase despite volatility after rebound
(views 73)
Last night, Wall Street turned to end slightly lower, while most European stock markets began to see selling pressure after Saint Louis Fed President urged the FOMC to raise policy rate at the next meeting on December 13-14. That put a cap on Asian equity markets this morning, causing them to be volatile and retreat. However, FSS expects the SETs downside to be limited after the Bahts weakness started to ease. Moreover, global crude turned to recover in the end yesterday, waiting for an informal meeting between the OPEC and Russia late this week, which will indicate success of OPEC meeting at the end of this month, i.e. on November 30. Strategy: We maintain our call for investors to hold, waiting for a new round of rallies. For new bets, we suggest that they are placed on
weakness.
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16
November
2016
Daily Focus : 16 November 2016, SET begins to see new support and likely to rebound; recommend hold
(views 75)
This morning, most Asian stock markets continued to increase after U.S. dollars gain slowed, while global crude ended sharply up by nearly 6% yesterday after investors had more bullish view that an OPEC meeting late this month (i.e. on November 30) would reach a deal to cut output because there was news that Iraq and Iran were considering to cut their oil production. However, since there is yet to be clarity, the SET might continue to increase amid volatility and retreat periodically, while some investors wait for EIAs U.S. oil
inventory report due out tonight.
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15
November
2016
Daily Focus : 15 November 2016, Although SET falls more than expected, index still likely to rebound as expected
(views 68)
The SET has tumbled in the last two days. Moreover, although Asian equity markets continued to decrease this morning, there was a certain degree of buyback to provide support, making it possible for each market to recoup some of its loss. In the U.S., Wall Street began to increase at a slower pace, while U.S. dollars gain
started to decrease. After which, the Baht turned to slightly increase. Moreover, global crude began to recover. Although it ended lower, the loss was smaller than it was earlier. Given that, FSS expects the SETs downside to be limited. Whats more, there is chance that there will be buyback that supports Thai equity markets to turn to rally again as we have anticipated. Nevertheless, investors might need to be cautious over volatility at this time.
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14
November
2016
Daily Focus : 14 November 2016, SETs downside likely limited; hold
(views 96)
Investment sentiment in foreign equity markets was quite directionless. Wall Street started to increase at a slower pace after the Vice President of the Fed said that there was more ground that supported the central bank to unwind its easing. Given that, investors were more convinced that the Fed prepared to raise policy rate at a meeting mid-next month, i.e. December 13-14. In addition, global crude also dropped by nearly 3% due to concern over global supply glut, while the Baht decreased by nearly 2% last week.
However, the Thai currency started to stabilize, while global crude slightly recovered. Hence, FSS expects to SET to see limited downside. Whats more, there is chance there will be buying to bet on earnings results and Thailands economic recovery, which will support the index to turn to rally.
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11
November
2016
Daily Focus : 11 November 2016, SET likely to continue to rally; recommend hold
(views 89)
Last night, Wall Street continued to rally after investors believed Trumps policies would help ease restrictions on banks and stimulate spending on infrastructure. With that, banks and industrial shares continued to surge. Moreover, U.S. weekly jobless claims also decreased more than expected. However, European equity markets were pressured by selling to lock in profit, while crude turned
to decrease. Although hope increased that the Fed might postpone policy rate hike further, some investors would still like to wait for the Feds stance. Given that, several Asian stock markets were volatile and ease this morning, while the Baht weakened, putting a cap on Thai equity markets. For these reasons, although FSS believes that the SET will continue to rally, investors need to be cautious on volatility.
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10
November
2016
Daily Focus : 10 November 2016, SET quickly recovers amid volatility; recommend hold
(views 90)
This morning, international equity markets turned to move better after both U.S. and European stock markets managed to turn to end up by over 1% last night thanks to strong buying in bank, healthcare and industrials shares after optimism that the policies of the new U.S. President would support the business sector and drive the economy to grow strong. With that, Asian stock markets turned from its yesterdays plunge and opened higher this morning. In Thailand, FSS continues to believe that the SET will continue to climb after the index dropped and recovered quickly yesterday. Such rally should be made possible by corporate earnings and the domestic economy which we expect to recover strongly next year.
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09
November
2016
Daily Focus : 9 November 2016, SET likely to continue to rally; recommend hold
(views 80)
This morning, investment sentiment in foreign equity markets continued to be bright as some of the ballots cast have been
counted and results are quite in line with investor expectation. Moreover, global crude continued to slightly recover yesterday after
the OPEC had revised up their global demand forecast for 2017. Since we have to wait until afternoon before U.S. presidential election result becomes clear, we expect the SET to be quite volatile after the index has rallied in the last two days to price in U.S. presidential election result. However, FSS expects the SETs downside to be limited and there is still prospect that the index will continue to increase.
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08
November
2016
Daily Focus : 8 November 2016, SET likely to continue to increase; recommend hold
(views 79)
This morning, investment sentiment in international markets was quite bright because most U.S. and European stock
markets ended sharply up after investors turned to feel more confident that Mrs. Clinton will win in U.S. presidential election tonight. Moreover, global crude began to recover to move in positive territory again after an earthquake erupted close to U.S. oil hub, triggering fear over supply. Meanwhile, foreign investors selling in Thailand started to fade. Given all that, FSS expects the SET to continue to move in the positive territory. However, investors still need to be cautious over periodic volatility from selling to lock in short-term profit.
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07
November
2016
Daily Focus : 7 November 2016, SET likely to bounce back after considerable decrease
(views 73)
Last Friday, both U.S. and European stock markets ended lower due to investor caution over sell after there was uncertainty over U.S. presidential election result. Although U.S. nonfarm payrolls in October increased less than expected, it was still at a level that triggered fear about a Fed rate hike in mid-December. However, most Asian equity markets turned to open higher again this morning after the Dow Jones Futures turned to move up by nearly 200 points thanks to news that the director of the FBI confirmed to U.S. House of Representatives that Mrs. Hillary Clinton did not commit any criminal offence from the use of her personal emails while in office.
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04
November
2016
Daily Focus : 4 November 2016, Despite volatility, SET still likely to increase
(views 85)
Last night, Wall Street was pressured by uncertainty over U.S. presidential election result after Mr. Donald Trump began to
pick up speed and was now close to Mrs. Hillary Clinton. Moreover, the Fed also signaled a policy rate hike at a meeting next month, while global crude continued to tumble by another 1% after the EIA reported that U.S. oil inventories increased more than expected, while OPEC oil output in October continued to hit new high. Given that, Asian stock markets continued to open lower this morning. We believe that this will also put pressure on the SET and make the Thai main index to be volatile and retreat. Nonetheless, Asia equity markets loss was still limited. Hence, FSS also expects the SET to see limited downside.
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03
November
2016
Daily Focus : 3 November 2016, SET continues to stabilize well; recommend hold
(views 72)
The SET continued to see pressure from the concern over U.S. presidential election. Moreover, the anxiety over a Fed rate
hike continued to cloud the market. Although the latest FOMC meeting last night resolved to keep policy rate on hold, it signaled a rate increase at the next meeting on December 13-14. Meanwhile, some investors continued to wait U.S. non-farm payrolls late this week in order to forecast if the Fed would raise interest rate at the next meeting or not. Given that, the SET is still likely to be volatile. However, FSS continues to believe that the SETs fall will be limited and there is chance that it will turn to rally shortly.
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02
November
2016
Daily Focus : 2 November 2016, SET sees support from buying amid volatility; recommend hold
(views 87)
We view that investors still need to watch on selling to lock in profit which might pressure the SET to decrease after both U.S. and European stock markets tumbled quite sharply overnight due to investor disappointment on some corporate earnings and uncertainty over U.S. presidential election on November 8 after polls suggested that the two key candidates were now a close tie. Moreover, global crude continued to weaken due to pressure from supply glut, while some investors remained on the sidelines, waiting for results from FOMC meeting tonight (November 2). Nonetheless, FSS expects downside to be limited and there is chance that the SET will turn to rally shortly.
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01
November
2016
Daily Focus : 1 November 2016, SETs decrease serves as opportunity to buy
(views 78)
Foreign sentiment was not bright, pressured by global crude which tumbled by nearly 4% yesterday after the informal
meeting between OPEC and non-OPEC officials did not produce additional result. Although they said that there was positive
development, that did not very much ease investors. As a result, Asian stock markets continued to move in negative territory this morning.
Meanwhile, foreign investor continued to record a net sell position in Thailand. Hence, FSS expects the SET to continue to move sideways
down. However, downside should be limited and there is prospect that there will be buying that drives the index back to positive territory
shortly.
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31
October
2016
Daily Focus : 31 October 2016, Despite possible retreat, downside limited
(views 77)
Investment sentiment in foreign equity markets this morning looks bleak after the FBI prepared to resume its investigation
in Hillary Clintons private email case, which triggered investor concern over U.S. presidential result next week. Whats more, U.S.s 3Q16 GDP also expanded more than expected, which might cause the Fed to decide to raise interest rate shortly. Meanwhile, European corporate earnings continued to look weak and French economy was weaker than expected. Given that, most Asian equity markets continued to open lower and FSS expects the SET to continue to retreat. However, the Thai index continued to see support from buying when it decreased. Hence, although it was down, it stabilized quite well. For this reason, we believe that downside is quite limited. After which, we predict the SET to turn to rally.
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28
October
2016
Daily Focus : 28 October 2016, SET likely to be volatile before rally; buy on weakness
(views 88)
Yesterdays afternoon, global crude began to recover, which supported for the SET to close higher. Today, we expect the gain
to continue to support the market after there was positive news that Saudi Arabia and its alliances in the Persian Gulf reiterated their intention to cut output by 4%. In Europe, stock markets also increased after Britain 3Q16 GDP expanded more than expected. On the other side of the Atlantics, Wall Street continued to be pressured by weak corporate earnings and a surprise decline in U.S. durable goods orders, which made the market to be volatile. However, the loss was quite limited. Given that, most Asian stock markets were also volatile, moving within narrow range this morning. In Thailand, FSS also expects the SET to remain volatile. However, downside is limited and there is prospect that the index will continue to increase in the end.
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27
October
2016
Daily Focus : 27 October 2016, SET likely to ease in near term, serving as opportunity to buy
(views 90)
We maintain our call for investors to gradually buy on weakness. After which, it is suggested that investors hold, waiting for a new round of rallies.
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26
October
2016
Daily Focus : 26 October 2016, SET likely to fall; wait to buy on weakness
(views 94)
We maintain our call for investors to hold long-term investment and selectively place new bets on weakness.
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25
October
2016
Daily Focus : 25 October 2016, SET likely to fall; wait to buy on weakness
(views 83)
We maintain our call for investors to hold long-term investment and selectively place new bets on weakness.
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21
October
2016
Daily Focus : 21 October 2016, SET has sharply increased and continues to be capped; buy on weakness
(views 90)
Strategy: We recommend that investors hold their long-term investment. For new bets, it is advisable to gradually place them on
weakness.
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20
October
2016
Daily Focus : 20 October 2016, SET risks to fall; wait to buy on weakness
(views 99)
We recommend that investors continue to hold long-term position and wait to place new bets on weakness. For trading, sell
some into strength and wait to buy back when the index decreases.
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19
October
2016
Daily Focus : 19 October 2016, SET likely to fall; wait to buy on weakness
(views 95)
We recommend that investors hold their long-term investment and wait to accumulate new position on weakness. For trading, sell some into strength and wait to buy back when the index decreases.
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18
October
2016
Daily Focus : 18 October 2016, SET likely to modestly retreat prior to rally
(views 91)
We maintain our call for investors to buy on weakness. After which, we recommend that investors hold, waiting for a new round of rallies before locking profit.
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17
October
2016
Daily Focus : 17 October 2016, Wait to buy on weakness
(views 97)
Wait to buy on weakness. For trading bet, sell into strength and buy on weakness.
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14
October
2016
Daily Focus : 14 October 2016, Despite high volatility, hold
(views 91)
We recommend that investors continue to hold already-have position, waiting for market recovery. However, it is suggested that
new bet are placed only for trading. In this regard, the buy on weakness and sell into strength recommendation is still valid.
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13
October
2016
Daily Focus : 13 October 2016, Given high volatility, put off on buying; hold already-have position
(views 84)
The SET continued to be volatile. As a result, investors might want to slow their buying. However, it is suggested that investors keep the position that they already have.
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12
October
2016
Daily Focus : 12 October 2016, SET likely to steady and then rebound; recommend HOLD
(views 80)
The SET has decreased quite sharply. As a result, FSS believes there is chance that the index will begin to steady, waiting for opportunity to rebound. For this reason, following our BUY call, we now recommend that investors hold.
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11
October
2016
Daily Focus : 11 October 2016, SET likely to steady and rebound, despite larger-than-expected fall
(views 85)
We maintain our call for investors to selectively buy and then hold, waiting for a new round of rallies to lock in profit.
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10
October
2016
Daily Focus : 10 October 2016, SET likely to decrease modestly; serving as opportunity to buy
(views 100)
We continue to recommend that investors selectively buy and then hold, waiting for a new round of rallies.
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07
October
2016
Daily Focus : 7 October 2016, SET likely to be volatile and retreat; serving as opportunity to buy
(views 91)
If the SET decreases, we view it as an opportunity to selectively buy and then hold, waiting for the next round of rallies.
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06
October
2016
Daily Focus : 6 October 2016, Selectively buy on weakness and then hold, waiting for new round of rallies
(views 91)
We maintain our call for investors to selectively buy and then hold, waiting for a new round of rallies. We stand by our end-2016
target at 1650 points.
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05
October
2016
Daily Focus : 5 October 2016, SET likely to be volatile; buy on weakness
(views 102)
We maintain our call for investors to selectively buy on weakness and then hold, waiting for a new large round of rallies.
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04
October
2016
Daily Focus : 4 October 2016, SET likely to modestly decrease and turn to rally
(views 249)
We maintain our call for investors to accumulate on weakness and then hold for medium- to long-term investment.
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03
October
2016
Daily Focus : 3 October 2016, SETs fall likely to be brief and to be followed by rally
(views 106)
FSS maintains our call for investors to accumulate on weakness and then hold for medium- to long-term investments.
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30
September
2016
Daily Focus : 30 September 2016, SET likely to be volatile and retreat; buy on weakness
(views 80)
We maintain our call for investors to buy on weakness. After which, we recommend that investors hold for mid- to long-term
investments.
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29
September
2016
Daily Focus : 29 September 2016, SET has sharply decreased and likely to rebound
(views 82)
FSS maintains our call for investors to selectively buy. After which, we recommend that investors hold, waiting to sell when the index increases to our target of 1650.
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28
September
2016
Daily Focus : 28 September 2016, Buy on weakness and hold, waiting for new round of rallies
(views 105)
FSS expects the SET to retreat only briefly before it turns to climb. For this reason, we recommend that investors selectively buy on weakness and then hold, waiting to sell into strength.
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27
September
2016
Daily Focus : 27 September 2016, SET likely to steady before rally; buy on weakness and hold, waiting to sell into strength
(views 94)
We expect the SET to decrease briefly before it turns to climb shortly. For this reason, we continue to recommend that investors buy on weakness and then hold, waiting to sell into strength.
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26
September
2016
Daily Focus : 26 September 2016, SET likely to fall briefly, which serves as opportunity to buy
(views 103)
Selectively buy if the market decreases. After which, hold.
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23
September
2016
Daily Focus : 23 September 2016, SET likely to ease after strong rebounds; buy on weakness
(views 104)
Hold already-have position, waiting for a new round of rallies. Place new bets on weakness.
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22
September
2016
Daily Focus : 22 September 2016, SET likely to continue to increase; hold already-have position
(views 88)
We recommend that investors hold already-have position, waiting for a new round of rallies. However, if new bets are needed, they should be placed on weakness.
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21
September
2016
Daily Focus : 21 September 2016, SET falls only to wait for new round of rallies; recommend hold
(views 93)
The SET decreased, helping reduce the heat from the rebounds in the past week or so. Looking ahead, we expect the index
to begin to steady and bounce back. Hence, if the market decreases, we recommend that investors buy and then hold, waiting for a new
round of rallies.
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20
September
2016
Daily Focus : 20 September 2016, SET might fall prior to rally
(views 80)
In the near term, we expect the SET to fall from 1500 (+/-). However, downside is limited and there is prospect that it will rally to
1650 in the end. For this reason, investors can lock in profit on trading bets and wait to buy them back on weakness.
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19
September
2016
Daily Focus : 19 September 2016, Despite possible retreats, SET still likely to continue to rally; recommend HOLD
(views 103)
FSS continues to believe that in the near term the SET will climb to 1500 (+/-), the level seen after the first panic sell, or higher.
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16
September
2016
Daily Focus : 16 September 2016, SET likely to continue to rally amid volatility; hold already have position
(views 123)
In the near term, we expect the SET to increase to 1500 (+/-), which will offer opportunity to lock in profit. However, FSS recommends that investors hold for long-term investment and bet that the index increases to our target of 1650.
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15
September
2016
Daily Focus : 15 September 2016, Market likely to increase amid volatility; hold already-have position
(views 118)
We believe the SET is swinging upward after the index has sharply decreased earlier. In the near term, there is chance it will rally
to 1500 (+/-), a level seen early last week before the first round of panic sells. For this reason, we recommend investors hold after bets
are placed.
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14
September
2016
Daily Focus : 14 September 2016, SET likely to steady amid volatility before rally; recommend hold
(views 111)
FSS continues to believe that the SET will climb to our end-2016 target of 1650. For this reason, should markets retreat, it will serve as opportunity to buy. After which, we recommend that investors hold, waiting for a new round of rallies.
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13
September
2016
Daily Focus : 13 September 2016, Hold after accumulation, waiting to lock in profit
(views 118)
After accumulation, we now recommend that investors hold, waiting for the SET to rally. We maintain our end-2016 target at 1650.
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12
September
2016
Daily Focus : 12 September 2016, Hold already-have position; wait to place new bets on weakness
(views 141)
Following our call to accumulate, we now recommend that investors hold, waiting for the SET to rally to our target of 1650. However, investors may wait for clarity from Fed meeting before placing new bet.
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09
September
2016
Daily Focus : 9 September 2016, Hold already-have position; wait to place new one after Fed meeting
(views 115)
Following our call for investors to accumulate on weakness, we now recommend that investors hold, waiting for the SET to increase to our index target of 1650. Should one want to place more bets, it is advisable to wait for clarity from the upcoming Fed meeting.
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08
September
2016
Daily Focus : 8 September 2016, Despite fall, SET likely to steady, waiting for rallies
(views 125)
The SET is likely to continue to be pressured by selling after Wall Street moved mostly in negative territory last night due to the latest Feds Beige Book, which indicated that U.S. economy only expanded modestly in July and August. Given that, most Asian stock markets opened lower this morning. However, the losses were not large because in the end the Dow turned to increase and ended only slightly lower overnight, supported by global crude which closed up by nearly 1.5% thanks to speculative buying before the EIAs release of U.S. oil inventories tonight. For this reason, although FSS expects the SET to see more loss, the index is likely to move sideways, waiting
for a new round of rallies in the future.

Strategy: We continue to recommend that investors accumulate and then hold, waiting for the SET to increase to our target of 1650.
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07
September
2016
Daily Focus : 7 September 2016, SET decreases to reduce heat; buy on weakness
(views 124)
This morning, international markets do not look too bad, although most Asian equity markets continued to be volatile and were mixed. However, Wall Street continued to rally as the report that U.S. service sector in August expanded at the lowest rate in six years helped keeping alive the hope that the Fed would not raise policy rate shortly. Although global crude was quite volatile, it continued to
increase by nearly 1%, positively responding to news that Saudi Arabia and Russia would cooperate to stabilize oil market, while Iran
supported oil producing countries to continue to maintain stability in the market. Given all that, FSS expects the SET to stabilize better,
waiting for a new round of rallies in the future.

Strategy: We continue to recommend that investors accumulate and then hold, waiting for the SET to increase our index target of 1650.
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06
September
2016
Daily Focus : 6 September 2016, Opportunity to buy
(views 116)
Although US markets closed yesterday and European stock markets closed slightly lower, improved economic data from Chinese, increasing crude oil prices, and continued net buy positions from foreign investors should help sentiment for Thai market. We still maintain our SET target at 1650 at yearend.

Strategy: The SETs retreat offers opportunity to accumulate.
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05
September
2016
Daily Focus : 5 September 2016, Hold for those who have positions; New buyers should buy on weakness
(views 143)
Global stock markets advance after US August jobs data disappoint, which pare expectations the FED would hike interest rates in September. Oil rose almost 3% after news that Russia and OPEC will agree to freeze production at a meeting late this month. We expect the SET to rebound with cautious on volatility.

Strategy: The SETs retreat offers opportunity to accumulate.
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02
September
2016
Daily Focus : 2 September 2016, SET likely to continue to fall; buy on weakness
(views 129)
Last night, Wall Street turned to end slightly up, supported by a rise in tech shares, after the Dow dropped by more than 100 points in the beginning. However, sentiment was weak as investors continued to wait for U.S. non-farm payrolls in August that is due out tonight. Meanwhile, global crude continued to plunge by over 3% after investors began to feel uncertain about an unofficial meeting of OPEC member countries on September 26-28. This morning, Asian stock markets continued to retreat. Given all that, we expect the SET to see selling pressure.

Strategy: As the SET is likely to continue to decrease, we maintain our call for investors to selectively buy on weakness.
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01
September
2016
Daily Focus : 1 September 2016, SET likely to continue to fall; wait to buy on weakness
(views 111)
The SET continued to be volatile, moving back and forth within narrow range, the last few days without fresh catalyst. Global crude continued to drop by over 3% last night after the EIA reported a higher-than-expected surge in U.S. oil inventory in the latest week. Moreover, the ADP revealed a larger-than-expected rise in U.S. private-sector employment, enhancing the concern over prospect
that the Fed would hike policy rate shortly. Given that, FSS expects the SET to move sideways down as some investors may decide to slow their investment, waiting for other U.S. economic data tonight and U.S. nonfarm payrolls on Fridays evening.

Strategy: Although the SET steadied, there was no catalyst. For this reason, we continue to recommend that investors gradually buy on weakness
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31
August
2016
Daily Focus : 31 August 2016, SET likely to continue to retreat, serving as opportunity to buy
(views 130)
Asian stock markets continued to be directionless after Wall Street started to decrease last night, pressured by a fall in Apple Inc. share and a decline in U.S. housing data. Meanwhile, investors continued to keep their eye on U.S. non-farm payrolls in August that is due out on Friday, September 2. An EC report indicated that the ESI in August dropped more than expected. Global crude continued to weaken by over 1% as investors continued to wait for the EIAs release of U.S. oil stockpiles tonight. Given all that, FSS believes that the SET will continue to move down rather than up.

Strategy: We recommend that investors continue to selectively buy on weakness because we believe that after the SET will turn to a new round of rallies after it has decreased.
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30
August
2016
Daily Focus : 30 August 2016, SET likely to move sideways down, serving as opportunity to buy
(views 111)
Although the SET might continue to steady, FSS believes the index will move mostly sideways down after Wall Street rallied all day and ended up by over 100 points, positively responding to U.S. consumer spending which continued to surge for the fourth straight month. In addition, there was buying in bank shares thanks to speculation over a Fed rate hike. Given that, it is unlikely that the gain in the DJIA will support domestic buying much. Meanwhile, global crude remained weak due to news about a rise in OPEC oil output. Looking ahead, we expect some investors to remain on the sidelines, waiting for U.S. employment data late this week to determine interest rate outlook.

Strategy: We maintain our call for investors to selectively buy on weakness. We believe that after the SET decreases, it will turn to make a new round of rallies
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29
August
2016
Daily Focus : 29 August 2016, SET likely to continue to fall, providing opportunity to buy
(views 132)
International markets continued to be volatile and retreat. Although the Fed Chair reiterated the central banks stance
that a policy rate hike will be gradual, its Vice Chairman signaled that the Fed might raise benchmark rate more than once in 2016, while
there are three more meetings scheduled this year. In addition, there is prospect that the hike will begin at a meeting in September. Given
that, there are pressure on markets. Key indicators for a rate increase will be U.S. employment rate that is due out early month (i.e. on
September 2-3). As a result, some investors will continue to wait for that data and FSS expects the SET to continue to move downward.

Strategy: As we believe the SET will continue to decrease to build up base for a new round of rallies, we maintain our call for investors to
wait and buy on weakness.
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26
August
2016
Daily Focus : 26 August 2016, SET begins to fall, serving as opportunity to accumulate
(views 125)
The SET continued to increase in the morning, after it ended strong a day earlier, thanks to support from buying in
blue-chip counters. However, there was no fresh catalyst and investors continued to wait for the Fed Chairs statement at Jackson Hole tonight (August 26), the index turned to decrease as anticipated.
Todays outlook: This morning, foreign equity markets were not bright. Specifically, U.S. stock markets continued to decrease as investors continued to wait for the Fed Chairs statement at Jackson Hole to catch a signal for U.S. policy rate hike. Moreover, European stock markets also closed lower after Germany business confidence index in August dropped sharply. Given that, Asian equity markets continued to open lower this morning. Although the losses were modest, we believe it is sufficient to cause the SET to continue to decrease. However,global crude began to see support from speculative buying after it tumbled by nearly 3% the other day as investors remained hopeful that oil-producing countries unofficial meeting on September 26-28 would produce concrete result. For this reason, investors may continue to bet that this fall will be followed by a new round of rallies. We maintain our call for investors to selectively buy on weakness.
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25
August
2016
Daily Focus : 25 August 2016, SET likely to continue to fall; wait to buy on weakness
(views 113)
International stock markets were not quite bright. Although most European equity markets continued to end higher thanks to optimism that the European banking sector outlook remains strong over the long run. However, Wall Street was volatile, moving more in negative territory. After which, it ended lower due to a sharp fall in global crude after the EIA revealed that U.S. oil stockpiles increased last week, while U.S. existing home sales in July dropped sharply. Moreover, healthcare shares saw sell-off after a large U.S. pharmaceutical was heavily criticized for its price hike. This morning, most Asian stock markets continued to be volatile and move sideways down. Given that, FSS expects the SET to continue to be volatile and retreat as investors continue to wait for the Fed Chairs statement tomorrow (August 26). We recommend that investors wait to selectively buy on weakness.
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24
August
2016
Daily Focus : 24 August 2016, SET likely to continue to retreat; wait to buy on weakness
(views 130)
Yesterday global crude started to recover to trade within US$46.7-47.2 a barrel. Although oil continued to be volatile until evening, it managed to end up 1.5% to US$48 a barrel in the end, supported by news that Iran signaled its readiness to cooperate in oil price support. Given that, both U.S. and European equity markets turned to close up last night, driven by U.S. new home sales in July, which surged to its peak in nearly nine years, while eurozone PMI in August expanded at a higher rate. However, selling momentum in Asia continued to be seen. Hence, FSS expects the SET to be volatile and retreat as investors continue to wait for the Fed Chairs statement late this week (i.e. on August 26). We continue to recommend that investors selectively buy on weakness.
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23
August
2016
Daily Focus : 23 August 2016, SET likely to continue to fall; selectively buy on weakness
(views 117)
Last night both U.S. and European stock markets ended lower. Global crude began to weaken by over 3% after there was report that U.S. oil rigs increased for the eight straight weeks. Moreover, there was no clarity that a meeting of oil-producing countries meeting on September 26-28 would yield concrete result about how to tackle supply glut or not. In Asia, stock markets were directionless this morning. To elaborate, they opened mixed with both losses and gains as investors continued to keep their ear on the Fed chairs statement at the central banks annual meeting in Jackson Hole on Friday, August 26 whether there would be a signal on policy rate hike. For this reason, FSS expects the SET to continue to retreat. However, the loss should be brief before the Thai index turns to climb to our index target of 1650. We continue to recommend that investors selectively buy on weakness.
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22
August
2016
Daily Focus : 22 August 2016, Buy on weakness and then hold, waiting for new round of rallies
(views 121)
Last Friday, global crude began to move within narrow range, swinging back and forth between positive and negative territories as investors were more cautious after it had rallied by over 20% in the last six days, while there was no clarity over a meeting to discuss a fix to supply glut. In addition, many Fed officials started to express an agreement with a sooner policy rate hike. Given that, both U.S. and European stock markets were pressured to fall quite considerably last Friday. This has in turn affected Asian equity markets
movement, causing most of them to open lower this morning. For this reason, FSS expects the SET to move downwards. However, we also
believes that the fall will be brief before the index turns to a new round of rallies to our index target which is maintained at 1650.
We recommend that investors selectively accumulate on weakness.
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19
August
2016
Daily Focus : 19 August 2016, SET still likely to fall; wait to buy on weakness
(views 138)
We continue to recommend that investors gradually buy on weakness.
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18
August
2016
Daily Focus : 18 August 2016, SET likely to continue to fall, serving as opportunity to buy
(views 136)
Although the SET rebounded, we continue to recommend that investors selectively buy on weakness.
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17
August
2016
Daily Focus : 17 August 2016, SET decreases to reduce heat, providing opportunity to place more bets
(views 148)
We recommend that investors selectively accumulate when the SET decreases.
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16
August
2016
Daily Focus : 16 August 2016, SET begins to gain limitedly and retreat; wait to buy on
(views 149)
FSS continues to recommend that investors hold, waiting to sell at our index target of 1650 or close. However, if ones want to
place new bets, we suggest that they are made on weakness.
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15
August
2016
Daily Focus : 15 August 2016, SET still likely to fall, serving as opportunity to accumulate
(views 124)
FSS continues to recommend that investors wait to buy on weakness. We view that a loss serves as opportunity to buy because we believe there is chance that the SET will climb to 1650 or close.
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11
August
2016
Daily Focus : Wait to buy on weakness
(views 140)
Although FSS continues to see the SET in positive light, expecting the index to climb to 1650 or close by year-end. In the near term, investors need to watch out on a fall. If that happens, it serves as buy opportunity and we recommend that investors accumulate on weakness.
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10
August
2016
SET likely to be volatile and retreat; wait to buy on weakness
(views 116)
FSS continues to see the SET in a positive light, expecting the index to climb to 1650 or close before end-2016. However, investors need to be cautious over a near-term retreat, which will serve as opportunity to accumulate.
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09
August
2016
Daily Focus : SET still likely to fall; wait to buy on weakness
(views 150)
Although FSS maintains our bullish view about the SET, expecting that the index will climb to move near 1650 or close within this year, it is still possible that the SET will fall, serving as an opportunity to buy. For this reason, we suggest that investors wait to
buy on weakness.
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08
August
2016
Daily Focus : SET likely to be volatile and retreat; wait to buy on weakness
(views 146)
FSS expects the SET to be volatile after the index has rallied quite sharply lately. Hence, we recommend that investors wait to buy on weakness.
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05
August
2016
Daily Focus : SET likely to be volatile and retreat; wait to buy on weakness
(views 137)
FSS expects the SET to see near-term rebounds prior to a fall. Hence, we maintain our call for investors to wait and buy on
weakness - to be safe.
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04
August
2016
Daily Focus : SET likely to see near-term rebound prior to fall; wait to buy
(views 143)
We expect the SET to rebound in the near term after the index dropped sharply in the last two days. After which, there is risk that the SET will turn to fall again. For this reason, we recommend that investors wait to buy when the index decreases.
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03
August
2016
Daily Focus : SET likely to continue to fall prior to new round of rallies; wait to buy on weakness
(views 134)
The SET plunged by nearly 40 points in the last two trading days to trade below 1500 as we have anticipated. For this reason, we recommend that investors wait and selectively accumulate on weakness.
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02
August
2016
Daily Focus : SET likely to continue to fall in order to rise again; buy on weakness
(views 135)
FSS maintains our call for investors to wait to buy on weakness.
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01
August
2016
Daily Focus : คาด SET ยังผันผวนต่อ ดังนั้นเน้นรอทยอยซื้อช่วงลบต่อไปดีกว่า
(views 130)
อย่างไรก็ตาม FSS ยังแนะนำให้ระวังแรงขายกดดัน SET ให้แกว่งตัวลบต่อ ดังนั้นไม่แนะนำให้ซื้อไล่ราคาช่วงบวก โดยน่ารอเลือกหุ้นทยอยซื้อช่วงลบดีกว่า แต่ถ้าขายลดพอร์ตไปมากแล้ว จะเลือกชะลอการขายลงบ้างก็ได้
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29
July
2016
Daily Focus : SET ขึ้นดีเกินคาด จะชะลอการขายบ้างก็ได้ แต่ไม่แนะนำให้ไล่ซื้อ
(views 154)
ถึงแม้ว่า SET ยังขึ้นต่อได้ดี แต่ FSS มองว่ามีความเสี่ยงสูง และยังต้องระวังจังหวะปรับพักตัวลงอยู่เช่นเดิม ดังนั้นไม่แนะนำให้ซื้อไล่ราคาช่วงบวก ยังน่ารอเลือกหุ้นทยอยซื้อช่วงลบดีกว่า แต่ถ้าขายลดพอร์ตไปมากแล้วจะเลือกชะลอการขายลงบ้างก็ได้
Read More
28
July
2016
Daily Focus : คาด SET ยังมีสิทธิพักตัวลงต่อได้อีก ดังนั้น ยังแนะนำรอซื้อลบ
(views 127)
ยังแนะนำให้รอเลือกหุ้นทยอยซื้อช่วง SET แกว่งตัวลงดีกว่า เพราะช่วงที่ผ่านมาดัชนีขยับขึ้นมาค่อนข้างร้อนแรงพอควร โดยยังไม่มีปัจจัยบวกใหม่เข้ามาหนุนเพิ่ม ในขณะที่ช่วงตลาดบวกยังน่าสนใจแบ่งส่วนขายทำกำไรเพื่อลดพอร์ตได้เช่นเดิม
Read More
27
July
2016
Daily Focus : คาด SET ยังอยู่ในช่วงแกว่งพักตัวลงต่อ ดังนั้นรอทยอยซื้อช่วงลบ
(views 125)
คาด SET ยังอยู่ในช่วงปรับพักตัวลงต่อเพื่อสร้างฐาน ก่อนพลิกกลับขึ้นจริงจังรอบใหม่ในช่วงถัดไป ดังนั้นหลังจากขายทำกำไรลดพอร์ตช่วงบวกไปแล้ว ถัดจากนี้ก็รอเลือกหุ้นทยอยซื้อใหม่ช่วง SET ไหลลงต่ำ
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26
July
2016
Daily Focus : SET ยังมีแรงขายช่วงบวก จึงเสี่ยงกับการพักฐานต่อ รอซื้อลบดีกว่า
(views 127)
คาดว่า SET ยังมีโอกาสปรับพักตัวลงเพื่อสร้างฐาน ก่อนพลิกกลับขึ้นจริงจังรอบใหม่ในช่วงถัดไป ดังนั้นยังน่ามองหาจังหวะขายทำกำไรลดพอร์ตช่วงบวก แล้วรอเลือกหุ้นซื้อใหม่เฉพาะช่วง SET ลบดีกว่า
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25
July
2016
Daily Focus : แม้ SET ยังพลิกกลับมาบวก แต่ก็เสี่ยงกับการพักฐานอีก รอซื้อลบดีกว่า
(views 165)
ช่วงนี้ยังต้องระวัง SET ปรับพักตัวลงอีก เพื่อสร้างฐานก่อนพลักกลับขึ้นจริงจังรอบใหม่ตามคาด ดังนั้น ยังน่ามองหาจังหวะขายทำกำไรลดพอร์ทช่วงบวก เพื่อรอเลือกหุ้นซื้อใหม่ช่วง SET ลบเช่นเดิม
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22
July
2016
Daily Focus : SET เริ่มปรับลง ซึ่งลุ้นพักตัวอีกสักระยะได้ ดังนั้น ค่อยๆ ทยอยซื้อลบ
(views 119)
คาดว่า SET มีโอกาสปรับพักตัวลงต่อเนื่องได้อีกสักระยะ ก่อนกลับไปขยับบวกต่อในช่วงหน้า ดังนั้น ตลาดปรับลงยังน่าสนใจเลือกหุ้นซื้อ แต่เน้นเป็นค่อยๆ ทยอยซื้อช่วงลบ ไม่ต้องรับ
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21
July
2016
Daily Focus : ช่วงนี้ต้องระวัง SET พักตัวลง ดังนั้น แบ่งขายทำกำไร เพื่อรอซื้อลบได้
(views 143)
เนื่องจาก SET ขยับขึ้นมามากแล้ว ทำให้ FSS ยังคาดหมายโอกาสปรับพักตัวลงในกรอบกว้างได้ในช่วงถุดไป ดังนั้น เรายังแนะนำให้รอเลือกหุ้นซื้อเพิ่มช่วง SET ปรับตัวลงดีกว่า และช่วงบวกสามารถแบ่งส่วนขายทำกำไร เพื่อรอซื้อช่วงปรับตัวลงได้ด้วย
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20
July
2016
Daily Focus : หลัง SET บวกมาพอควรและเข้าใกล้เป้าหมาย น่าแบ่งขายเพื่อรอซื้อลบ
(views 154)
ยังแนะนำให้รอเลือกหุ้นซื้อเพิ่มช่วง SET ปรับลงดีกว่า โดยในช่วงบวกน่าจะแบ่งส่วนทยอยขายทำกำไร เพื่อรอซื้อช่วงปรับลงอีกครั้ง
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15
July
2016
Daily Focus : SET ขึ้นเร็วและเข้าใกล้เป้าหมายซึ่งน่าเตรียมขาย จะซื้อจึงต้องรออ่อน
(views 142)
แนะนำให้รอเลือกหุ้นซื้อเพิ่มช่วง SET ปรับลงดีกว่า อย่างไรก็ตามเรามองว่า SET มีแนวโน้มที่จะขยับขึ้นสูงกว่า 1500 จุดได้ หุ้นที่มีอยู่จึงยังรอหาจังหวะขายทำกำไรแถว 1500 จุดหรือสูงกว่าได้
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14
July
2016
Daily Focus : SET ขึ้นเร็วต้องระวังผันผวน แม้ถือต่อได้ แต่น่ารอซื้อช่วงอ่อนตัว
(views 139)
ยังแนะนำให้เน้นถือหุ้นต่อเนื่องเพื่อลุ้นเป้าหมาย 1500 จุดอยู่ แต่ระยะสั้นตลาดขึ้นมาแรงและเร็วพอควร ทำให้ต้องระวังจังหวะแกว่งผันผวนและอ่อนตัว ดังนั้นถ้าจะซื้อเพิ่มจึงน่ารอช่วง SET ปรับพักไว้ก่อนดีกว่า
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13
July
2016
Daily Focus : SET ยังขึ้นได้ดีแม้จะผันผวน แต่ก็น่าถือต่อและเลือกซื้อช่วงอ่อนตัว
(views 142)
แนะนำให้เน้นถือหุ้นต่อเนื่องเพื่อลุ้นเป้าหมาย 1,500 จุด ในช่วงถัดไปตามคาด ส่วนถ้ามีจังหวะอ่อนตัวลง ถือเป็นโอกาสเลือกหุ้นซื้อเพิ่ม
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12
July
2016
Daily Focus : ยังเน้นถือหุ้นเพื่อรอลุ้น 1500 จุด...แต่ต้องระวังแกว่งจึงน่ารอซื้อลบ
(views 137)
ยังแนะนำให้เน้นถือหุ้นต่อเนื่อง เพื่อรอดัชนีแกว่งไต่ระดับขึ้นหาเป้าหมาย 1500 จุด ในช่วงถัดไปตามคาดเดิม ส่วนถ้ามีจังหวะอ่อนตัวลงให้ ก็ถือเป็นโอกาสในการเลือกหุ้นซื้อเพิ่ม
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11
July
2016
Daily Focus : หลังจากเลือกหุ้นซื้อลบไปแล้ว ถัดจากนี้เน้นถือเพื่อรอลุ้น 1,500 จุด
(views 151)
แนะนำให้เลือกหุ้นซื้อเพิ่มช่วงตลาดลบไปแล้ว ถัดจากนี้เน้นถือหุ้นต่อเนื่อง เพื่อรอดัชนีแกว่งไต่ระดับขึ้นหาเป้าหมาย 1,500 จุด ในช่วงถัดไป
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08
July
2016
Daily Focus : ตลาดลงยังน่าเลือกหุ้นซื้อ แล้วเน้นถือเพื่อรอรอบบวกใหญ่ต่อไป
(views 147)
ยังคาดว่า SET มีโอกาสปรับพักตัวลงให้เป็นโอกาสในการเลือกหุ้นซื้อเพิ่มได้ ก่อนลุ้นจังหวะขยับไต่ระดับขึ้นหาเป้าหมาย 1500 จุด ในช่วงถัดไป ส่วนที่ซื้อแล้วเราจึงยังแนะนำเน้นถือต่อเนื่องเช่นเดิม
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07
July
2016
Daily Focus : SET อ่อนตัวแล้วยังมีแรงซื้อหนุน ดังนั้น ยังเน้นถือต่อ และอ่อนตัวซื้อได้
(views 143)
ยังคาดว่า SET ผันผวนและปรับพักตัวเพียงช่วงสั้น ก่อนลุ้นโอกาสขยับไต่ระดับขึ้นหาเป้าหมาย 1500 จุด ได้ในช่วงถัดไป ดังนั้น ยังแนะนำถือต่อเนื่อง และเลือกหุ้นซื้อได้เมื่อตลาดปรับลง
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06
July
2016
Daily Focus : ความกังวลผล Brexit ยังกดดัน SET ให้ลงต่อได้ แต่คาดเป็นโอกาสซื้อ
(views 150)
คาดว่า SET ปรับลงเพื่อสร้างฐานรอขยับขึ้นรอบใหม่ โดยลุ้นเป้า 1500 จุดได้ในช่วงถัดไป ดังนั้นยังแนะนำถือต่อเนื่อง และเลือกหุ้นซื้อได้เมื่อตลาดปรับลง
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05
July
2016
Daily Focus : SET ยังมีสิทธิปรับพัก จึงแนะนำซื้อเพิ่มช่วงตลาดอ่อนตัวดีกว่า
(views 149)
ยังแนะนำเลือกหุ้นซื้อช่วง SET อ่อนตัวลง และส่วนที่ซื้อแล้วยังแนะนำให้เน้นถือต่อเนื่อง เพื่อรอทำกำไรรอบบวกใหญ่เช่นเดิม
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04
July
2016
Daily Focus : หลังจากซื้อแล้วยังแนะให้เน้นถือ แต่ถ้าจะซื้อเพิ่มน่าเลือกซื้อช่วงอ่อน
(views 161)
ยังแนะนำเลือกหุ้นซื้อช่วง SET อ่อนตัวลงน่าจะปลอดภัยกว่า แต่ส่วนที่ซื้อแล้วเรายังแนะนำให้เน้นถือต่อเนื่องเพื่อรอทำกำไรในรอบบวกใหญ่เช่นเดิม
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30
June
2016
Daily Focus : ยังแนะนำให้เน้นถือเพื่อรอรอบบวกใหญ่เป็นหลัก ถ้าอ่อนตัวก็ซื้อเพิ่ม
(views 155)
FSS ยังคาดหมายว่า SET จะแกว่งผันผวนที่บริเวณนี้เพียงแค่ระยะสั้น ก่อนลุ้นรอบบวกจริงจังต่อไปในเร็วๆนี้ ดังนั้น SET อ่อนตัวลงจึงยังน่าสนใจเลือกหุ้นซื้อเพิ่มได้ แล้วเน้นถือเพื่อรอทำกำไรในรอบบวกใหญ่ต่อไป
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29
June
2016
Daily Focus : ซื้อแล้วให้เน้นถือเพื่อรอรอบบวกใหญ่ และถ้าอ่อนตัวซื้อเพิ่มได้
(views 146)
FSS ยังแนะนำให้เน้นถือต่อเนื่อง เพื่อรอรอบบวกจริงจังต่อไป ส่วนถ้า SET ยังมีจังหวะอ่อนตัวลงให้อีก ก็น่าสนใจเลือกหุ้นซื้อเพิ่มได้เช่นเดิม
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28
June
2016
Daily Focus : หลังจากซื้อแล้วให้เน้นถือเพื่อรอรอบบวกใหญ่ แต่ซื้อเพิ่มน่ารออ่อนตัว
(views 127)
หลังจาก FSS แนะนำให้เลือกหุ้นซื้อช่วงตลาดลบไปแล้ว ถัดจากนี้เน้นถือเพื่อรอรอบบวกจริงจังต่อไป อย่างไรก็ตามยังต้องระวังการแกว่งตัวผันผวน ดังนั้นถ้าจะเลือกหุ้นซื้อเพิ่มยังรอช่วงตลาดแกว่งอ่อนตัวได้
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27
June
2016
Daily Focus : SET ปรับลงยังมองเป็นโอกาสเลือกหุ้นซื้อ แล้วเน้นถือเพื่อรอรอบบวก
(views 142)
ดังนั้น FSS ยังแนะนำให้เลือกหุ้นซื้อในช่วงตลาดอ่อนตัวลงได้ แล้วเน้นถือเพื่อรอรอบบวกในช่วงถัดไป ค่อยพิจารณาหาจังหวะทำกำไรต่อไป
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24
June
2016
Daily Focus : คาด SET ผันผวนเพื่อสร้างฐานรอรอบขึ้นใหม่ ดังนั้น ซื้อแล้วเน้นถือต่อ
(views 144)
FSS ยังแนะนำให้เลือกหุ้นซื้อในช่วงตลาดอ่อนตัวลงได้ แล้วเน้นถือเพื่อรอรอบบวกในช่วงถัดไป ค่อยพิจารณาหาจังหวะทำกำไรต่อไป
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23
June
2016
Daily Focus : SET ยังผันผวนให้รอซื้อช่วงอ่อนตัวได้อยู่ แต่ซื้อแล้วน่าเน้นถือต่อไป
(views 126)
FSS ยังแนะนำให้รอเลือกหุ้นซื้อในช่วงตลาดอ่อนตัวลงดีกว่า อย่างไรก็ตาม เรายังคาดหมายว่า SET มีแนวโน้มที่จะสามารถแกว่งไต่ระดับขึ้นไปหาดัชนีตามพื้นฐานที่เราประเมินไว้แถว 1,500 จุด ได้ในช่วงถัดไปอยู่เช่นเดิม ส่วนที่ซื้อแล้วจึงแนะนำให้ถือเพื่อรอรอบบวกต่อไปได้
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22
June
2016
Daily Focus : SET อาจผันผวนบ้างทำให้ยังน่าซื้อช่วงอ่อนตัว แต่ซื้อแล้วเน้นถือต่อได้
(views 130)
ดังนั้นแม้ว่า FSS ยังคาดว่า SET จะสามารถแกว่งไต่ระดับขึ้นไปหาระดับดัชนีตามพื้นฐานที่เราประเมินไว้แถว 1500 จุดได้ในช่วงถัดไป แต่ระยะสั้นต้องระวังการแกว่งตัวผันผวนและอ่อนตัวไว้ด้วย ดังนั้นเราจึงยังแนะนำให้เลือกหุ้นซื้อช่วงตลาดอ่อนตัวดีกว่า อย่างไรก็ตามส่วนที่ซื้อแล้วแนะนำให้เน้นถือเพื่อรอรอบบวกต่อไป
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21
June
2016
Daily Focus : ซื้อแล้วยังเน้นถือต่อได้ แต่ซื้อใหม่ยังน่ารอช่วงแกว่งอ่อนตัวดีกว่า
(views 121)
FSS คาดว่า SET จะปรับพักตัวเพียงช่วงสั้น และมีกรอบลบค่อนข้างจำกัด ก่อนลุ้นแรงซื้อหนุนให้ตลาดสามารถแกว่งไต่ระดับกลับขึ้นไปหาระดับดัชนีตามพื้นฐานที่เราประเมินไว้แถว 1500 จุดได้ในช่วงถัดไป ดังนั้น SET ลบยังเลือกหุ้นซื้อ แล้วเน้นถือเพื่อรอรอบบวกต่อไป
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20
June
2016
Daily Focus : หลังจากซื้อแล้วแนะนำให้เน้นถือต่อเนื่องไว้ก่อน เพื่อรอรอบบวกใหญ่
(views 138)
FSS ยังคาดว่า SET ปรับพักตัวลงเพียงช่วงสั้น และสามารถลุ้นแรงซื้อกลับเข้ามาหนุนช่วงตลาดเป็นลบต่อได้ โดยเรายังคาดว่า SET มีสิทธิแกว่งไต่ระดับกลับขึ้นไปหาระดับดัชนีตามพื้นฐานที่ 1500 จุดได้ในช่วงถัดไป ดังนั้น SET ลบยังเลือกหุ้นซื้อ แล้วเน้นถือเพื่อรอรอบบวกต่อไป
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17
June
2016
Daily Focus : หลังเลือกหุ้นทยอยซื้อลบแล้ว แนะนำให้ถือต่อเพื่อรอขายสูง
(views 143)
FSS ยังคาดหมายว่า SET ปรับพักตัวลงเพียงช่วงสั้น และยังสามารถลุ้นแรงซื้อกลับเข้ามาหนุนช่วงตลาดเป็นลบต่อได้ โดยเรายังคาดว่า SET มีสิทธิแกว่งไต่ระดับกลับขึ้นไปหาระดับดัชนีตามพื้นฐานที่ 1,500 ได้ในช่วงถัดไป ดังนั้น SET ลบยังเลือกหุ้นซื้อ แล้วเน้นถือเพื่อรอรอบบวกต่อไป
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16
June
2016
Daily Focus : SET ยังผันผวนและอ่อนตัวได้ จึงรอทยอยซื้อลบต่อ แต่ซื้อแล้วเน้นถือ
(views 131)
หลังจากให้เลือกหุ้นทยอยซื้อสะสมช่วง SET ลบไปแล้ว ถัดจากนี้แนะนำถือต่อเนื่องไว้ก่อน ขณะที่ยังเลือกหุ้นซื้อต่อถ้าตลาดปรับลง
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15
June
2016
Daily Focus : คาด SET ยังมีสิทธิปรับพักฐานก่อนขึ้นรอบใหม่ จึงรอทยอยซื้อลบต่อ
(views 123)
เรายังแนะนำให้เลือกหุ้นทยอยเข้าซื้อสะสมในช่วง SET ลบดีกว่า และหลังจากซื้อแล้วยังแนะนำให้เน้นถือเพื่อรอรีบาวด์จริงจังในช่วงหน้าต่อไป โดยไม่จำเป็นต้องทำกำไรเร็วนัก
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14
June
2016
Daily Focus : คาด SET พักตัวสร้างฐาน เพื่อรอขึ้นรอบใหม่ ดังนั้นเลือกหุ้นทยอยซื้อ
(views 136)
ถึงแม้ SET ยังมีสิทธิพักตัวลงต่ออีก แต่ FSS คาดว่าเป็นการพักตัวเพื่อสร้างฐานรอการแกว่งขึ้นรอบใหม่ตามคาด ดังนั้นเรายังแนะนำให้เลือกหุ้นทยอยเข้าซื้อสะสมต่อเนื่อง แล้วเน้นถือเพื่อรอขายทำกำไรช่วงบวกต่อไป
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13
June
2016
Daily Focus : SET เริ่มปรับตัวลงตามคาด ซึ่งถือเป็นโอกาสในการเลือกหุ้นทยอยซื้อ
(views 189)
FSS ยังคาดว่า SET อยู่ระหว่างปรับพักตัวเพื่อลดความร้อนแรงของการขยับขึ้นเร็วเกินไปในช่วง 2 สัปดาห์ก่อนหน้า แต่ด้วยสภาพคล่องในตลาดที่ยังมีมาก รวมทั้งคาดว่านักลงทุนยังเชื่อมั่นว่าเฟดจะชะลอการขึ้นอัตราดอกเบี้ยออกไปก่อน ทำให้มีลุ้นแรงซื้อกลับเข้ามาหนุนอีกครั้งได้ โดยเรายังคาดหมายโอกาสที่ดัชนีจะขยับขึ้นหาเป้าหมาย 1500 จุดได้ในช่วงถัดไป จึงยังแนะนำเลือกหุ้นทยอยซื้อช่วงลบ แล้วเน้นถือต่อเนื่อง
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10
June
2016
Daily Focus : SET ยังมีแนวโน้มแกว่งลบให้เป็นโอกาสในการเลือกหุ้นซื้อต่ออยู่
(views 176)
FSS ยังคาดว่า SET ปรับลงเพื่อลดความร้อนแรงของการขึ้นในช่วงที่ผ่านมา ขณะที่สภาพคล่องในตลาดยังมีสูง ทำให้มีลุ้นแรงซื้อกลับเข้ามาหนุนเมื่อ SET ปรับตัวลง และสุดท้ายตลาดยังมีแนวโน้มที่จะขยับขึ้นต่อ เพื่อลุ้นวิ่งขึ้นหาเป้าหมาย 1500 จุดได้ในช่วงถัดไป จึงแนะนำเลือกหุ้นทยอยเข้ารับ แล้วเน้นถือต่อเนื่อง
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09
June
2016
Daily Focus : SET บวกยังเน้นถือรอขายสูง แต่ถ้าซื้อเพิ่มน่ารอช่วงแกว่งย้อนอ่อนตัว
(views 128)
หลังจาก FSS แนะนำให้ทยอยซื้อช่วง SET ลบแล้ว จากนี้ไปให้เน้นถือเพื่อรอรอบบวกใหญ่ โดยมีเป้าหมาย 1,500 จุด หรือใกล้เคียง อย่างไรก็ตาม ถ้าจะเลือกหุ้นทยอยเข้าซื้อเพิ่มอีก ยังน่ารอช่วง SET อ่อนตัวลงเช่นเดิม
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08
June
2016
Daily Focus : คาด SET เริ่มมีจังหวะย้อนลบ ให้เป็นโอกาสเลือกหุ้นทยอยซื้อเพิ่มแล้ว
(views 154)
FSS คาดว่า SET จะพักตัวลงเพื่อสร้างฐาน ก่อนกลับไปแกว่งบวกขึ้นหาระดับดัชนีเป้าหมายตามพื้นฐานที่เราประเมินไว้ที่ 1500 จุดได้ในช่วงถัดไป เนื่องจากสภาพคล่องในตลาดยังมีมาก ดังนั้นตลาดอ่อนตัวลงจึงแนะนำให้เลือกหุ้นทยอยเข้าซื้อสะสมต่อได้ แล้วเน้นถือเพื่อรอรอบบวกใหญ่ต่อไป
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07
June
2016
Daily Focus : ส่วนที่ซื้อแล้วยังถือต่อได้ แต่ถ้าจะซื้อใหม่น่ารอซื้อช่วงลบต่อไป
(views 132)
แม้ SET ยังขยับบวกต่อได้อีก หลังตัวเลขการจ้างงานฯของสหรัฐออกมาต่ำกว่าคาด ทำให้นักลงทุนยังมีความหวังว่าเฟดจะชะลอการขึ้นดอกเบี้ยไว้ก่อน แต่ก็มีแรงขายกดดันช่วงบวก ทำให้ดัชนีแกว่งผันผวนเพราะยังมีความไม่แน่นอน และขาดปัจจัยบวกเพิ่มเติม
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06
June
2016
Daily Focus : แม้ SET ยังบวกต่อได้ แต่ก็ต้องระวังผันผวน จึงแนะนำรอซื้อช่วงลบต่อ
(views 137)
SET แกว่งทรงตัวด้านบวกได้อีกในช่วงท้ายสัปดาห์ที่แล้ว แต่ก็มีแรงขายกดดันให้ผันผวนอยู่ คาดว่าเพราะไม่มีปัจจัยบวกใหม่เข้ามาหนุนเพิ่มมากนัก ขณะที่นักลงทุนยังกังวลเรื่องการขึ้นดอกเบี้ยสหรัฐด้วย ก่อนที่ภาคบ่ายจะได้แรงหนุนจากราคาน้ำมันโลกที่ขยับขึ้น ทำให้ SET ยังขึ้นทำ High
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03
June
2016
Daily Focus : คาด SET ยังมีสิทธิแกว่งลบ ให้เป็นโอกาสในการเลือกหุ้นซื้อได้อยู่
(views 140)
หลังผลประชุม OPEC ไม่มีความคืบหน้า ขณะที่ความกังวลเกี่ยวกับการขึ้นดอกเบี้ยของสหรัฐยังกดดันตลาด รวมทั้งไม่มีปัจจัยบวกใหม่ๆ เข้ามาหนุนเพิ่ม ทำให้ SET ยังมีสิทธิแกว่งผันผวนและย้อนลบ
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02
June
2016
Daily Focus : คาดตลาดเริ่มมีจังหวะปรับพักตัวลง ให้เป็นโอกาสในการเลือกหุ้นซื้อ
(views 145)
SET เริ่มมีจังหวะปรับพักตัวลงจริงจังมากขึ้น หลังจากช่วงก่อนหน้าดัชนีขยับขึ้นมาแรง ทำให้ FSS คาดว่า SET มีโอกาสพักตัวลงต่อได้อีก
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01
June
2016
Daily Focus : ช่วงนี้มีหุ้นอยู่ยังเน้นถือต่อเนื่องได้ แต่ถ้าจะซื้อใหม่ยังรอช่วงอ่อนตัว
(views 122)
SET เริ่มผันผวนมากขึ้น และมีจังหวะอ่อนตัวให้เห็น ขณะที่ราคาน้ำมันดิบในตลาดโลกก็เริ่มอ่อนแอลงต่อเนื่อง ก่อนลุ้นผลประชุม OPEC ในวันพรุ่งนี้ (2 มิ.ย.) รวมทั้งนักลงทุนยังกังวลเกี่ยวกับโอกาสในการขยับขึ้นอัตราดอกเบี้ยของสหรัฐในการประชุมเฟดกลางเดือนนี้ (14-15 มิ.ย.) นอกจากนี้ตัวเลข PMI ภาคบริการเดือน พ.ค. ของจีนเช้านี้ก็ยังชะลอลง ดังนั้น FSS แนะนำให้รอเลือกหุ้นทยอยซื้อช่วงลบดีกว่า อย่างไรก็ตามส่วนที่ซื้อแล้วยังเน้นถือต่อเพื่อลุ้นรอบบวก
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31
May
2016
Daily Focus : SET มีสิทธิผันผวนและย้อนลบ จึงน่ารอซื้อช่วงลบ แต่ซื้อแล้วถือต่อได้
(views 132)
แม้ SET จะรีบาวด์ขึ้นมาได้ดีในช่วงสัปดาห์เศษที่ผ่านมา แต่มองว่ามาจากแรงเก็งกำไรคาดการณ์ที่ว่าเฟดอาจจะยังไม่ขึ้นดอกเบี้ยในการประชุมรอบนี้(14-15 มิ.ย.)ซึ่งยังมีความไม่แน่นอนสูง
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30
May
2016
Daily Focus : ซื้อช่วงลบแล้วน่าเน้นถือต่อ แต่ถ้าจะซื้อใหม่น่ารอช่วงลบ
(views 127)
เนื่องจากยังไม่ได้มีปัจจัยบวกใหม่เข้ามาหนุน ขณะที่ความกังวลเกี่ยวกับการขึ้นอัตราดอกเบี้ยของสหรัฐเร็วกว่าคาด และการถอนตัวจาก EU ของอังกฤษยังกดดันตลาด ทำให้ SET ยังมีโอกาสปรับพักตัวลงอีกได้ตามคาดเดิม ดังนั้น FSS ยังแนะนำให้รอเลือกหุ้นทยอยซื้อช่วงลบดีกว่า แต่ส่วนที่ซื้อไว้แล้วแนะนำให้เน้นถือต่อ เพื่อรอรอบบวกใหญ่ที่คาดว่าใกล้จะเกิดขึ้นในเร็วๆ นี้ต่อไป
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27
May
2016
Daily Focus : ช่วงนี้ซื้อแล้วแนะนำถือต่อ แต่ถ้าจะซื้ออีกยังแนะนำรอช่วงตลาดปรับลง
(views 127)
SET ขยับบวกกลับขึ้นมาพอควรแล้ว ซึ่ง FSS ยังคาดหมายว่ากรอบบวกช่วงนี้น่าจะค่อนข้างจำกัด
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26
May
2016
Daily Focus : แม้ว่าส่วนที่ซื้อแล้วยังถือต่อไว้ได้ แต่ถ้าจะซื้อใหม่ยังน่ารอช่วงอ่อนตัว
(views 154)
แม้ SET ยังมีจังหวะรีบาวด์เป็นบวกต่อเนื่องได้อีก แต่คาดว่าเป็นการสลับบวก หลังจากช่วงก่อนหน้าดัชนีปรับตัวลงมาค่อนข้างเร็วพอควร อย่างไรก็ตามยังมีความกังวลในประเด็นการขึ้นอัตราดอกเบี้ยของเฟด และการตัดสินใจออกจาก EU ของอังกฤษ ทำให้ FSS คาดว่ากรอบบวกจะยังค่อนข้างจำกัด และเสี่ยงต่อการที่จะปรับตัวลงได้อีก ดังนั้นเรายังแนะนำให้เลือกหุ้นทยอยซื้อช่วงลบต่อ แต่ส่วนที่ซื้อไว้แล้วแนะนำให้เน้นถือต่อดีกว่า
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25
May
2016
Daily Focus : หลังจากซื้อช่วงลบแล้วเน้นถือไว้ได้ แต่ถ้าจะซื้อใหม่น่ารอช่วงอ่อนตัว
(views 111)
ถึงแม้ว่า SET จะมีจังหวะรีบาวด์สลับบ้างหลังปรับตัวลงมาค่อนข้างเร็วในช่วงก่อนหน้า แต่คาดว่ายังมีกรอบบวกจำกัด และเสี่ยงต่อการที่จะยังปรับตัวลงต่อเนื่องได้อีก
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24
May
2016
(views 139)
23
May
2016
(views 117)
19
May
2016
(views 141)
18
May
2016
(views 144)
17
May
2016
(views 116)
16
May
2016
(views 130)
13
May
2016
(views 157)
12
May
2016
(views 122)
11
May
2016
(views 146)
10
May
2016
(views 116)
09
May
2016
(views 112)
04
May
2016
(views 147)
03
May
2016
(views 110)
29
April
2016
(views 166)
28
April
2016
(views 149)
27
April
2016
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